Trader consensus on a 16°C high for Paris on May 17 rests on recent observational data and updated forecast models showing daytime temperatures capped near that level under persistent cloud cover and light southerly winds. Météo-France guidance had projected a potential peak of 18–19°C earlier in the week, yet the latest runs indicate suppressed warming due to overcast conditions and morning lows around 7–9°C. This aligns with typical May variability while falling below the long-term average high of roughly 18°C. With afternoon observations confirming readings in the mid-15°C range and no intensification expected before evening, the final official maximum from monitoring stations will determine resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Paris on May 17?
Highest temperature in Paris on May 17?
16°C 96.5%
17°C 2.5%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$112,867 Vol.
$112,867 Vol.
May 17, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
97%
17°C
3%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 96.5%
17°C 2.5%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$112,867 Vol.
$112,867 Vol.
May 17, 2026
10°C or below
$1,110 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$1,434 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$2,788 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$7,621 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$16,118 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$15,411 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$18,139 Vol.
97%
17°C
$17,364 Vol.
3%
18°C
$14,868 Vol.
1%
19°C
$13,667 Vol.
<1%
20°C or higher
$5,165 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on a 16°C high for Paris on May 17 rests on recent observational data and updated forecast models showing daytime temperatures capped near that level under persistent cloud cover and light southerly winds. Météo-France guidance had projected a potential peak of 18–19°C earlier in the week, yet the latest runs indicate suppressed warming due to overcast conditions and morning lows around 7–9°C. This aligns with typical May variability while falling below the long-term average high of roughly 18°C. With afternoon observations confirming readings in the mid-15°C range and no intensification expected before evening, the final official maximum from monitoring stations will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$112,867End Date
May 17, 2026Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on a 16°C high for Paris on May 17 rests on recent observational data and updated forecast models showing daytime temperatures capped near that level under persistent cloud cover and light southerly winds. Météo-France guidance had projected a potential peak of 18–19°C earlier in the week, yet the latest runs indicate suppressed warming due to overcast conditions and morning lows around 7–9°C. This aligns with typical May variability while falling below the long-term average high of roughly 18°C. With afternoon observations confirming readings in the mid-15°C range and no intensification expected before evening, the final official maximum from monitoring stations will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$112,867End Date
May 17, 2026Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETTrader consensus on a 16°C high for Paris on May 17 rests on recent observational data and updated forecast models showing daytime temperatures capped near that level under persistent cloud cover and light southerly winds. Météo-France guidance had projected a potential peak of 18–19°C earlier in the week, yet the latest runs indicate suppressed warming due to overcast conditions and morning lows around 7–9°C. This aligns with typical May variability while falling below the long-term average high of roughly 18°C. With afternoon observations confirming readings in the mid-15°C range and no intensification expected before evening, the final official maximum from monitoring stations will determine resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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