Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a high temperature of 58-59°F at 38.5% implied probability for Seattle on May 14, closely trailed by 60-61°F at 29%, reflecting National Weather Service guidance projecting a high near 59°F amid mostly cloudy skies and 60% chance of rain from an approaching upper-level low and persistent onshore flow. This marine-influenced pattern, delivering cool, moist Puget Sound air, follows early May's above-normal warmth, suppressing highs below the mid-60s climatological average. Differentiating factors include cloud cover duration—prolonged stratus limits solar heating to late 50s, while afternoon clearing could push toward low 60s per model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF. Evening NWS updates and KSEA observations will sharpen resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seattle on May 14?
Highest temperature in Seattle on May 14?
58-59°F 39%
60-61°F 26%
56-57°F 16%
62-63°F 10%
NEW
$24,385 Vol.
NEW
$24,385 Vol.
May 14, 2026
55°F or below
5%
56-57°F
16%
58-59°F
39%
60-61°F
26%
62-63°F
10%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74°F or higher
<1%
58-59°F 39%
60-61°F 26%
56-57°F 16%
62-63°F 10%
NEW
$24,385 Vol.
NEW
$24,385 Vol.
May 14, 2026
55°F or below
$5,425 Vol.
5%
56-57°F
$3,368 Vol.
16%
58-59°F
$1,364 Vol.
39%
60-61°F
$2,345 Vol.
26%
62-63°F
$2,321 Vol.
10%
64-65°F
$2,170 Vol.
1%
66-67°F
$1,332 Vol.
1%
68-69°F
$1,435 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$1,528 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$1,461 Vol.
<1%
74°F or higher
$1,713 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a high temperature of 58-59°F at 38.5% implied probability for Seattle on May 14, closely trailed by 60-61°F at 29%, reflecting National Weather Service guidance projecting a high near 59°F amid mostly cloudy skies and 60% chance of rain from an approaching upper-level low and persistent onshore flow. This marine-influenced pattern, delivering cool, moist Puget Sound air, follows early May's above-normal warmth, suppressing highs below the mid-60s climatological average. Differentiating factors include cloud cover duration—prolonged stratus limits solar heating to late 50s, while afternoon clearing could push toward low 60s per model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF. Evening NWS updates and KSEA observations will sharpen resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$24,385End Date
May 14, 2026Market Opened
May 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a high temperature of 58-59°F at 38.5% implied probability for Seattle on May 14, closely trailed by 60-61°F at 29%, reflecting National Weather Service guidance projecting a high near 59°F amid mostly cloudy skies and 60% chance of rain from an approaching upper-level low and persistent onshore flow. This marine-influenced pattern, delivering cool, moist Puget Sound air, follows early May's above-normal warmth, suppressing highs below the mid-60s climatological average. Differentiating factors include cloud cover duration—prolonged stratus limits solar heating to late 50s, while afternoon clearing could push toward low 60s per model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF. Evening NWS updates and KSEA observations will sharpen resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$24,385End Date
May 14, 2026Market Opened
May 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a high temperature of 58-59°F at 38.5% implied probability for Seattle on May 14, closely trailed by 60-61°F at 29%, reflecting National Weather Service guidance projecting a high near 59°F amid mostly cloudy skies and 60% chance of rain from an approaching upper-level low and persistent onshore flow. This marine-influenced pattern, delivering cool, moist Puget Sound air, follows early May's above-normal warmth, suppressing highs below the mid-60s climatological average. Differentiating factors include cloud cover duration—prolonged stratus limits solar heating to late 50s, while afternoon clearing could push toward low 60s per model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF. Evening NWS updates and KSEA observations will sharpen resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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