Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 28°C (34%) and 29°C (32%) for Shenzhen's highest temperature on May 14, reflecting uncertainty in the latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and Hong Kong Observatory amid an approaching rain system tied to early monsoon influences over the Pearl River Delta. Recent observations logged highs of 30–32°C on May 12–13 despite cloud cover, but model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF now converge on daytime peaks of 28–29°C under isolated thunderstorms and overcast skies, with highs potentially capped by convective timing and humidity above 80%. Historical May climatology averages 29°C highs at Shenzhen Bao'an Airport, the resolution site, though cloud-induced suppression favors the lower end; watch for CMA hourly updates today as the system nears.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shenzhen on May 14?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on May 14?
29°C 36%
28°C 31%
30°C 15%
31°C or higher 11.4%
NEW
$13,515 Vol.
NEW
$13,515 Vol.
May 14, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
11%
28°C
31%
29°C
36%
30°C
15%
31°C or higher
11%
29°C 36%
28°C 31%
30°C 15%
31°C or higher 11.4%
NEW
$13,515 Vol.
NEW
$13,515 Vol.
May 14, 2026
21°C or below
$1,366 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$350 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,346 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,388 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$2,047 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$2,582 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,021 Vol.
11%
28°C
$622 Vol.
31%
29°C
$639 Vol.
36%
30°C
$1,336 Vol.
15%
31°C or higher
$1,318 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 28°C (34%) and 29°C (32%) for Shenzhen's highest temperature on May 14, reflecting uncertainty in the latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and Hong Kong Observatory amid an approaching rain system tied to early monsoon influences over the Pearl River Delta. Recent observations logged highs of 30–32°C on May 12–13 despite cloud cover, but model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF now converge on daytime peaks of 28–29°C under isolated thunderstorms and overcast skies, with highs potentially capped by convective timing and humidity above 80%. Historical May climatology averages 29°C highs at Shenzhen Bao'an Airport, the resolution site, though cloud-induced suppression favors the lower end; watch for CMA hourly updates today as the system nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volume
$13,515End Date
May 14, 2026Market Opened
May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 28°C (34%) and 29°C (32%) for Shenzhen's highest temperature on May 14, reflecting uncertainty in the latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and Hong Kong Observatory amid an approaching rain system tied to early monsoon influences over the Pearl River Delta. Recent observations logged highs of 30–32°C on May 12–13 despite cloud cover, but model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF now converge on daytime peaks of 28–29°C under isolated thunderstorms and overcast skies, with highs potentially capped by convective timing and humidity above 80%. Historical May climatology averages 29°C highs at Shenzhen Bao'an Airport, the resolution site, though cloud-induced suppression favors the lower end; watch for CMA hourly updates today as the system nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$13,515End Date
May 14, 2026Market Opened
May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 28°C (34%) and 29°C (32%) for Shenzhen's highest temperature on May 14, reflecting uncertainty in the latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and Hong Kong Observatory amid an approaching rain system tied to early monsoon influences over the Pearl River Delta. Recent observations logged highs of 30–32°C on May 12–13 despite cloud cover, but model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF now converge on daytime peaks of 28–29°C under isolated thunderstorms and overcast skies, with highs potentially capped by convective timing and humidity above 80%. Historical May climatology averages 29°C highs at Shenzhen Bao'an Airport, the resolution site, though cloud-induced suppression favors the lower end; watch for CMA hourly updates today as the system nears.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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