Recent weather model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles has converged on a maximum temperature of 27°C for Shenzhen today, anchoring the overwhelming market-implied odds for that outcome. This reflects typical subtropical spring conditions under stable high-pressure influence, with light winds, partial cloud cover, and scattered showers moderating daytime heating near seasonal norms of 26–28°C. Official observations from Bao’an International Airport will determine final resolution, though minor urban heat island variations or brief forecast adjustments could still shift the recorded high by 1°C. Traders weighting real capital on verified data have rapidly priced in this strong alignment between models and current conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shenzhen on May 17?
27°C 99.9%
28°C <1%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
$47,595 Vol.
$47,595 Vol.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 99.9%
28°C <1%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
$47,595 Vol.
$47,595 Vol.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZRecent weather model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles has converged on a maximum temperature of 27°C for Shenzhen today, anchoring the overwhelming market-implied odds for that outcome. This reflects typical subtropical spring conditions under stable high-pressure influence, with light winds, partial cloud cover, and scattered showers moderating daytime heating near seasonal norms of 26–28°C. Official observations from Bao’an International Airport will determine final resolution, though minor urban heat island variations or brief forecast adjustments could still shift the recorded high by 1°C. Traders weighting real capital on verified data have rapidly priced in this strong alignment between models and current conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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