Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 55.5% probability for Taipei's highest temperature at Songshan Airport Station reaching 27°C or higher on May 14, driven by the latest Central Weather Administration (CWA) and global model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF projecting peaks around 27-28°C under partly cloudy skies. A weather front from southern China, arriving May 12-13, has introduced moisture and scattered showers—evident in today's overcast conditions and passing rain—moderating seasonal norms of 28-29°C highs through increased cloud cover and humidity near 80-90%, potentially capping intensity via reduced solar heating. Recent Songshan observations show May 12-13 highs near 28°C before frontal cooling, with uncertainty tied to precipitation totals; heavier thunderstorms could limit to 25-26°C (37.5% combined odds). Watch CWA's afternoon update for refined guidance ahead of tomorrow's observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on May 14?
Highest temperature in Taipei on May 14?
27°C or higher 51%
26°C 26%
25°C 18%
24°C 10%
NEW
$13,414 Vol.
NEW
$13,414 Vol.
May 14, 2026
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
10%
25°C
18%
26°C
26%
27°C or higher
51%
27°C or higher 51%
26°C 26%
25°C 18%
24°C 10%
NEW
$13,414 Vol.
NEW
$13,414 Vol.
May 14, 2026
22°C
$1,071 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$2,954 Vol.
1%
24°C
$756 Vol.
10%
25°C
$627 Vol.
18%
26°C
$660 Vol.
26%
27°C or higher
$1,748 Vol.
51%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 55.5% probability for Taipei's highest temperature at Songshan Airport Station reaching 27°C or higher on May 14, driven by the latest Central Weather Administration (CWA) and global model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF projecting peaks around 27-28°C under partly cloudy skies. A weather front from southern China, arriving May 12-13, has introduced moisture and scattered showers—evident in today's overcast conditions and passing rain—moderating seasonal norms of 28-29°C highs through increased cloud cover and humidity near 80-90%, potentially capping intensity via reduced solar heating. Recent Songshan observations show May 12-13 highs near 28°C before frontal cooling, with uncertainty tied to precipitation totals; heavier thunderstorms could limit to 25-26°C (37.5% combined odds). Watch CWA's afternoon update for refined guidance ahead of tomorrow's observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 12, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$13,414End Date
May 14, 2026Market Opened
May 12, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 55.5% probability for Taipei's highest temperature at Songshan Airport Station reaching 27°C or higher on May 14, driven by the latest Central Weather Administration (CWA) and global model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF projecting peaks around 27-28°C under partly cloudy skies. A weather front from southern China, arriving May 12-13, has introduced moisture and scattered showers—evident in today's overcast conditions and passing rain—moderating seasonal norms of 28-29°C highs through increased cloud cover and humidity near 80-90%, potentially capping intensity via reduced solar heating. Recent Songshan observations show May 12-13 highs near 28°C before frontal cooling, with uncertainty tied to precipitation totals; heavier thunderstorms could limit to 25-26°C (37.5% combined odds). Watch CWA's afternoon update for refined guidance ahead of tomorrow's observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$13,414End Date
May 14, 2026Market Opened
May 12, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 55.5% probability for Taipei's highest temperature at Songshan Airport Station reaching 27°C or higher on May 14, driven by the latest Central Weather Administration (CWA) and global model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF projecting peaks around 27-28°C under partly cloudy skies. A weather front from southern China, arriving May 12-13, has introduced moisture and scattered showers—evident in today's overcast conditions and passing rain—moderating seasonal norms of 28-29°C highs through increased cloud cover and humidity near 80-90%, potentially capping intensity via reduced solar heating. Recent Songshan observations show May 12-13 highs near 28°C before frontal cooling, with uncertainty tied to precipitation totals; heavier thunderstorms could limit to 25-26°C (37.5% combined odds). Watch CWA's afternoon update for refined guidance ahead of tomorrow's observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions