Recent forecasts from models like GFS and ECMWF indicate mild overnight conditions for Munich on August 30, with minimum temperatures around 16–17°C under partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and limited radiative cooling due to cloud cover and higher dew points. This aligns with above-average late-summer norms but contrasts with the market’s tight clustering around 12–15°C outcomes, reflecting trader emphasis on model uncertainty, potential for clearer patches enhancing nocturnal heat loss, and variability in boundary-layer mixing. Historical August 30 lows average 12.6°C, yet current steering patterns and pressure gradients favor stability over sharp drops. Updated model runs and local observations will refine resolution thresholds ahead of the overnight minimum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Munich on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Munich on August 30?
12°C or below 34%
15°C 31%
14°C 31%
16°C 25%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
12°C or below
34%
13°C
29%
14°C
31%
15°C
31%
16°C
25%
17°C
23%
18°C
14%
19°C
2%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C or higher
1%
12°C or below 34%
15°C 31%
14°C 31%
16°C 25%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
12°C or below
$0 Vol.
34%
13°C
$10 Vol.
29%
14°C
$0 Vol.
31%
15°C
$0 Vol.
31%
16°C
$0 Vol.
25%
17°C
$17 Vol.
23%
18°C
$5 Vol.
14%
19°C
$5 Vol.
2%
20°C
$5 Vol.
1%
21°C
$5 Vol.
1%
22°C or higher
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models like GFS and ECMWF indicate mild overnight conditions for Munich on August 30, with minimum temperatures around 16–17°C under partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and limited radiative cooling due to cloud cover and higher dew points. This aligns with above-average late-summer norms but contrasts with the market’s tight clustering around 12–15°C outcomes, reflecting trader emphasis on model uncertainty, potential for clearer patches enhancing nocturnal heat loss, and variability in boundary-layer mixing. Historical August 30 lows average 12.6°C, yet current steering patterns and pressure gradients favor stability over sharp drops. Updated model runs and local observations will refine resolution thresholds ahead of the overnight minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$52End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models like GFS and ECMWF indicate mild overnight conditions for Munich on August 30, with minimum temperatures around 16–17°C under partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and limited radiative cooling due to cloud cover and higher dew points. This aligns with above-average late-summer norms but contrasts with the market’s tight clustering around 12–15°C outcomes, reflecting trader emphasis on model uncertainty, potential for clearer patches enhancing nocturnal heat loss, and variability in boundary-layer mixing. Historical August 30 lows average 12.6°C, yet current steering patterns and pressure gradients favor stability over sharp drops. Updated model runs and local observations will refine resolution thresholds ahead of the overnight minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$52End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models like GFS and ECMWF indicate mild overnight conditions for Munich on August 30, with minimum temperatures around 16–17°C under partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and limited radiative cooling due to cloud cover and higher dew points. This aligns with above-average late-summer norms but contrasts with the market’s tight clustering around 12–15°C outcomes, reflecting trader emphasis on model uncertainty, potential for clearer patches enhancing nocturnal heat loss, and variability in boundary-layer mixing. Historical August 30 lows average 12.6°C, yet current steering patterns and pressure gradients favor stability over sharp drops. Updated model runs and local observations will refine resolution thresholds ahead of the overnight minimum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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