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Politics·Mexico

Nayarit Governor Election Winner

icon for Nayarit Governor Election Winner
Politics·Mexico

Nayarit Governor Election Winner

Héctor Santana García 34.6%

Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez 34.5%

Geraldine Ponce Méndez 12.3%

Hilaria Domínguez Arvizu 11.7%

Polymarket

$30,127 Vol.

Héctor Santana García 34.6%

Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez 34.5%

Geraldine Ponce Méndez 12.3%

Hilaria Domínguez Arvizu 11.7%

Polymarket

$30,127 Vol.

icon for Héctor Santana García

Héctor Santana García

$1,987 Vol.

35%

icon for Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez

Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez

$2,068 Vol.

29%

icon for Geraldine Ponce Méndez

Geraldine Ponce Méndez

$9,173 Vol.

12%

icon for Hilaria Domínguez Arvizu

Hilaria Domínguez Arvizu

$489 Vol.

12%

icon for Manuel Cota Jiménez

Manuel Cota Jiménez

$403 Vol.

3%

icon for Ivonne Sabrina Díaz

Ivonne Sabrina Díaz

$424 Vol.

3%

icon for Pavel Jarero Velázquez

Pavel Jarero Velázquez

$374 Vol.

3%

icon for Gustavo Ayón Aguirre

Gustavo Ayón Aguirre

$403 Vol.

1%

icon for José Ramón Cambero Pérez

José Ramón Cambero Pérez

$364 Vol.

1%

icon for Luis Zamora Carrillo

Luis Zamora Carrillo

$391 Vol.

1%

icon for Jorge Armando Ortiz Rodríguez

Jorge Armando Ortiz Rodríguez

$2,797 Vol.

1%

icon for Citlalli Rubí Huerta

Citlalli Rubí Huerta

$365 Vol.

1%

icon for Gloria Núñez Sánchez

Gloria Núñez Sánchez

$323 Vol.

<1%

icon for Julieta Mejía Ibáñez

Julieta Mejía Ibáñez

$426 Vol.

<1%

icon for José Antonio Barajas López

José Antonio Barajas López

$418 Vol.

<1%

icon for Paola Vargas Arciniega

Paola Vargas Arciniega

$344 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ivideliza Reyes Hernández

Ivideliza Reyes Hernández

$344 Vol.

<1%

icon for Nadia Ramírez López

Nadia Ramírez López

$361 Vol.

<1%

icon for María Elizabeth López Blanco

María Elizabeth López Blanco

$359 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ignacio Flores Medina

Ignacio Flores Medina

$355 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jesús Armando Vélez Macías

Jesús Armando Vélez Macías

$359 Vol.

<1%

icon for Enrique Díaz López

Enrique Díaz López

$366 Vol.

<1%

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Nayarit on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nayarit gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nayarit and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nayarit and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.The Nayarit gubernatorial race for 2027 remains fluid more than a year before the vote, with trader pricing reflecting uncertainty over the Morena-PT-PVEM coalition nomination and limited polling on general-election matchups. Recent July 2026 surveys show the coalition holding a wide lead in party identification, while internal Morena preferences favor Héctor Santana García over Geraldine Ponce Méndez and Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez. Bugarín’s Senate leave in June to pursue the candidacy and Santana’s registration for the coalition internal have kept those two names at the center of attention, producing the closest implied probabilities. Low shares for other listed aspirants align with their narrower bases or party affiliations. Fresh data on the current governor’s September report and any coalition survey results could shift positioning before the field narrows further.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Nayarit on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nayarit gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nayarit and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nayarit and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Nayarit on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nayarit gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nayarit and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nayarit and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$30,127
End Date
Jan 1, 2028
Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 6:59 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Nayarit on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nayarit gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nayarit and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nayarit and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.The Nayarit gubernatorial race for 2027 remains fluid more than a year before the vote, with trader pricing reflecting uncertainty over the Morena-PT-PVEM coalition nomination and limited polling on general-election matchups. Recent July 2026 surveys show the coalition holding a wide lead in party identification, while internal Morena preferences favor Héctor Santana García over Geraldine Ponce Méndez and Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez. Bugarín’s Senate leave in June to pursue the candidacy and Santana’s registration for the coalition internal have kept those two names at the center of attention, producing the closest implied probabilities. Low shares for other listed aspirants align with their narrower bases or party affiliations. Fresh data on the current governor’s September report and any coalition survey results could shift positioning before the field narrows further.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Nayarit on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nayarit gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nayarit and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nayarit and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Nayarit on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nayarit gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nayarit and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nayarit and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$30,127
End Date
Jan 1, 2028
Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 6:59 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Nayarit Governor Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Héctor Santana García" at 35%, followed by "Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez" at 29%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 35¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Nayarit Governor Election Winner" has generated $30.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 5, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Nayarit Governor Election Winner," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Nayarit Governor Election Winner" is "Héctor Santana García" at 35%, meaning the market assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez" at 29%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Nayarit Governor Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.