Mark Brown's commanding position in the market stems from the Cook Islands Party's victory in the 12 August 2026 general election, where it secured 13 of 24 seats plus independent support for a supermajority caucus. This outcome followed the party's fourth consecutive term and allowed Brown to retain his role as prime minister while reappointing cabinet ministers. Traders have priced in this result as the dominant factor, with opposition leaders including Tina Pupuke-Browne and Teariki Heather seeing minimal implied probability after their parties' weaker showings. Late shifts remain possible only through rare events such as resignation, coalition realignment, or successful electoral petitions still under review.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNext Prime Minister of the Cook Islands
Next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands
Mark Brown 95.7%
Tina Browne 2.9%
Teariki Heather 1.3%
$56,391 Vol.
$56,391 Vol.
Aug 12, 2026
Mark Brown
96%
Tina Browne
3%
Teariki Heather
1%
Mark Brown 95.7%
Tina Browne 2.9%
Teariki Heather 1.3%
$56,391 Vol.
$56,391 Vol.
Aug 12, 2026
Mark Brown
$45,842 Vol.
96%
Tina Browne
$5,786 Vol.
3%
Teariki Heather
$4,763 Vol.
1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Cook Islands; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mark Brown's commanding position in the market stems from the Cook Islands Party's victory in the 12 August 2026 general election, where it secured 13 of 24 seats plus independent support for a supermajority caucus. This outcome followed the party's fourth consecutive term and allowed Brown to retain his role as prime minister while reappointing cabinet ministers. Traders have priced in this result as the dominant factor, with opposition leaders including Tina Pupuke-Browne and Teariki Heather seeing minimal implied probability after their parties' weaker showings. Late shifts remain possible only through rare events such as resignation, coalition realignment, or successful electoral petitions still under review.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Cook Islands; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Cook Islands; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 16, 2026, 9:55 AM ET
Volume
$56,391End Date
Aug 1, 2027Market Opened
Jul 16, 2026, 9:55 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Cook Islands; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mark Brown's commanding position in the market stems from the Cook Islands Party's victory in the 12 August 2026 general election, where it secured 13 of 24 seats plus independent support for a supermajority caucus. This outcome followed the party's fourth consecutive term and allowed Brown to retain his role as prime minister while reappointing cabinet ministers. Traders have priced in this result as the dominant factor, with opposition leaders including Tina Pupuke-Browne and Teariki Heather seeing minimal implied probability after their parties' weaker showings. Late shifts remain possible only through rare events such as resignation, coalition realignment, or successful electoral petitions still under review.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Cook Islands; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Cook Islands; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$56,391End Date
Aug 1, 2027Market Opened
Jul 16, 2026, 9:55 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Mark Brown's commanding position in the market stems from the Cook Islands Party's victory in the 12 August 2026 general election, where it secured 13 of 24 seats plus independent support for a supermajority caucus. This outcome followed the party's fourth consecutive term and allowed Brown to retain his role as prime minister while reappointing cabinet ministers. Traders have priced in this result as the dominant factor, with opposition leaders including Tina Pupuke-Browne and Teariki Heather seeing minimal implied probability after their parties' weaker showings. Late shifts remain possible only through rare events such as resignation, coalition realignment, or successful electoral petitions still under review.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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