Recent interactive dialogues at United Nations headquarters have strengthened trader consensus around Rafael Grossi as the frontrunner for the next Secretary-General, whose five-year term begins in January 2027. Grossi's six-year tenure leading the International Atomic Energy Agency has positioned him with visible experience managing nuclear diplomacy and global security challenges, aligning with Security Council priorities. Rebeca Grynspan's background in trade and development sustains her second-place standing, while Michelle Bachelet's human rights record and Macky Sall's presidential experience draw narrower support. The upcoming June public debate in Geneva could further shift probabilities before Security Council consultations and General Assembly action later this year.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNext Secretary-General of the United Nations
Next Secretary-General of the United Nations
Rafael Grossi 55%
Rebeca Grynspan 21%
Michelle Bachelet 9.3%
Macky Sall 7.6%
$118,674 Vol.
$118,674 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Rafael Grossi
55%
Rebeca Grynspan
21%
Michelle Bachelet
9%
Macky Sall
8%
Rafael Grossi 55%
Rebeca Grynspan 21%
Michelle Bachelet 9.3%
Macky Sall 7.6%
$118,674 Vol.
$118,674 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Rafael Grossi
$5,481 Vol.
55%
Rebeca Grynspan
$1,906 Vol.
21%
Michelle Bachelet
$1,730 Vol.
9%
Macky Sall
$109,557 Vol.
8%
A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent interactive dialogues at United Nations headquarters have strengthened trader consensus around Rafael Grossi as the frontrunner for the next Secretary-General, whose five-year term begins in January 2027. Grossi's six-year tenure leading the International Atomic Energy Agency has positioned him with visible experience managing nuclear diplomacy and global security challenges, aligning with Security Council priorities. Rebeca Grynspan's background in trade and development sustains her second-place standing, while Michelle Bachelet's human rights record and Macky Sall's presidential experience draw narrower support. The upcoming June public debate in Geneva could further shift probabilities before Security Council consultations and General Assembly action later this year.
A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 21, 2026, 2:19 PM ET
Volume
$118,674End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Apr 21, 2026, 2:19 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent interactive dialogues at United Nations headquarters have strengthened trader consensus around Rafael Grossi as the frontrunner for the next Secretary-General, whose five-year term begins in January 2027. Grossi's six-year tenure leading the International Atomic Energy Agency has positioned him with visible experience managing nuclear diplomacy and global security challenges, aligning with Security Council priorities. Rebeca Grynspan's background in trade and development sustains her second-place standing, while Michelle Bachelet's human rights record and Macky Sall's presidential experience draw narrower support. The upcoming June public debate in Geneva could further shift probabilities before Security Council consultations and General Assembly action later this year.
A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$118,674End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Apr 21, 2026, 2:19 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent interactive dialogues at United Nations headquarters have strengthened trader consensus around Rafael Grossi as the frontrunner for the next Secretary-General, whose five-year term begins in January 2027. Grossi's six-year tenure leading the International Atomic Energy Agency has positioned him with visible experience managing nuclear diplomacy and global security challenges, aligning with Security Council priorities. Rebeca Grynspan's background in trade and development sustains her second-place standing, while Michelle Bachelet's human rights record and Macky Sall's presidential experience draw narrower support. The upcoming June public debate in Geneva could further shift probabilities before Security Council consultations and General Assembly action later this year.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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