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icon for Nuevo León Governor Election Winner
Politics·Mexico

Nuevo León Governor Election Winner

icon for Nuevo León Governor Election Winner
Politics·Mexico

Nuevo León Governor Election Winner

Mariana Rodríguez Cantú 27.2%

Adrián de la Garza Santos 23%

Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas 18.9%

Tatiana Clouthier Carrillo 8.6%

Polymarket

$54,557 Vol.

Mariana Rodríguez Cantú 27.2%

Adrián de la Garza Santos 23%

Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas 18.9%

Tatiana Clouthier Carrillo 8.6%

Polymarket

$54,557 Vol.

icon for Mariana Rodríguez Cantú

Mariana Rodríguez Cantú

$16,478 Vol.

27%

icon for Adrián de la Garza Santos

Adrián de la Garza Santos

$11,011 Vol.

23%

icon for Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas

Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas

$3,589 Vol.

21%

icon for Tatiana Clouthier Carrillo

Tatiana Clouthier Carrillo

$3,524 Vol.

9%

icon for Jesús Alberto Elizondo

Jesús Alberto Elizondo

$425 Vol.

6%

icon for Alma Rosa Marroquín Escamilla

Alma Rosa Marroquín Escamilla

$786 Vol.

5%

icon for Daniel Carrillo Martínez

Daniel Carrillo Martínez

$4,987 Vol.

4%

icon for Andrés Mijes Llovera

Andrés Mijes Llovera

$1,538 Vol.

4%

icon for Clara Luz Flores Carrales

Clara Luz Flores Carrales

$4,731 Vol.

4%

icon for Waldo Fernández González

Waldo Fernández González

$748 Vol.

9%

icon for Félix Arratia Cruz

Félix Arratia Cruz

$405 Vol.

3%

icon for Judith Díaz Delgado

Judith Díaz Delgado

$928 Vol.

3%

icon for Martha Herrera González

Martha Herrera González

$720 Vol.

3%

icon for Carlos de la Fuente Flores

Carlos de la Fuente Flores

$368 Vol.

2%

icon for Felipe de Jesús Cantú Rodríguez

Felipe de Jesús Cantú Rodríguez

$512 Vol.

2%

icon for Miguel Flores Serna

Miguel Flores Serna

$596 Vol.

2%

icon for Raúl Lozano Caballero

Raúl Lozano Caballero

$375 Vol.

1%

icon for Arturo Salinas Garza

Arturo Salinas Garza

$753 Vol.

1%

icon for Annia Gómez Cárdenas

Annia Gómez Cárdenas

$414 Vol.

1%

icon for Fernando Margáin Berlanga

Fernando Margáin Berlanga

$385 Vol.

1%

icon for Héctor García García

Héctor García García

$1,286 Vol.

1%

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Nuevo León on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nuevo León gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nuevo León and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nuevo León and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.Recent polls show a tightly contested race for the 2027 Nuevo León governorship, with Movimiento Ciudadano’s Mariana Rodríguez Cantú and Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas, PRI-PAN alliance frontrunner Adrián de la Garza Santos, and Morena-linked figures such as Clara Luz Flores, Waldo Fernández González, and Andrés Mijes Llovera trading narrow leads depending on the scenario. Party identification remains fragmented, with Morena often ahead but specific candidate matchups favoring MC continuity or opposition consolidation. Key near-term catalysts include MC’s planned October-November candidate assembly, Morena’s coordinator selection, Colosio’s potential Sonora bid, and whether PRI and PAN finalize an alliance. These unresolved nomination and coalition dynamics sustain the even trader pricing among the top names, as outcomes hinge on internal party processes and head-to-head polling shifts in the coming months.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Nuevo León on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nuevo León gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nuevo León and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nuevo León and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Nuevo León on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nuevo León gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nuevo León and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nuevo León and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$54,557
End Date
Jan 1, 2028
Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 7:02 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Nuevo León on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nuevo León gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nuevo León and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nuevo León and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.Recent polls show a tightly contested race for the 2027 Nuevo León governorship, with Movimiento Ciudadano’s Mariana Rodríguez Cantú and Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas, PRI-PAN alliance frontrunner Adrián de la Garza Santos, and Morena-linked figures such as Clara Luz Flores, Waldo Fernández González, and Andrés Mijes Llovera trading narrow leads depending on the scenario. Party identification remains fragmented, with Morena often ahead but specific candidate matchups favoring MC continuity or opposition consolidation. Key near-term catalysts include MC’s planned October-November candidate assembly, Morena’s coordinator selection, Colosio’s potential Sonora bid, and whether PRI and PAN finalize an alliance. These unresolved nomination and coalition dynamics sustain the even trader pricing among the top names, as outcomes hinge on internal party processes and head-to-head polling shifts in the coming months.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Nuevo León on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nuevo León gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nuevo León and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nuevo León and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Nuevo León on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nuevo León gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nuevo León and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nuevo León and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$54,557
End Date
Jan 1, 2028
Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 7:02 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Nuevo León Governor Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 21 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Mariana Rodríguez Cantú" at 27%, followed by "Adrián de la Garza Santos" at 23%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 27¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 27% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Nuevo León Governor Election Winner" has generated $54.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 5, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Nuevo León Governor Election Winner," browse the 21 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Nuevo León Governor Election Winner" is "Mariana Rodríguez Cantú" at 27%, meaning the market assigns a 27% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Adrián de la Garza Santos" at 23%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Nuevo León Governor Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.