Russia's ruling United Russia party secured victories across all regional legislative assemblies and gubernatorial races in the September 2026 elections, consistent with its long-standing structural advantages in a system featuring restricted opposition participation and centralized administrative control. Official tallies from the Central Election Commission show the party exceeding prior benchmarks with over 57 percent of the vote and majorities in every region, including single-mandate districts, amid record turnout despite external disruptions. This outcome aligns with historical patterns where the party leverages institutional resources to maintain dominance, producing the near-certain trader consensus reflected in current pricing. Only extraordinary late revisions to certified results, disputes over occupied territories, or unforeseen procedural challenges could alter the resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated99% chance
$933,986 Vol.
$933,986 Vol.
Sep 30, 2027
99% chance
$933,986 Vol.
$933,986 Vol.
Sep 30, 2027
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Russia party list receives the greatest number of valid votes of any party list in each individual region in the 2026 Russian legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a region means any federal subject of the Russian Federation for which results of the federal party-list vote are separately reported by the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve solely according to the valid votes received by each party list in each region. The number of seats won by any party, including any seats won in single-member constituencies, will have no bearing on resolution.
If the United Russia party list is tied with multiple party lists for the greatest number of valid votes in a region, United Russia will be considered to have received the greatest number of valid votes in that region for the purposes of this market.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Russia's ruling United Russia party secured victories across all regional legislative assemblies and gubernatorial races in the September 2026 elections, consistent with its long-standing structural advantages in a system featuring restricted opposition participation and centralized administrative control. Official tallies from the Central Election Commission show the party exceeding prior benchmarks with over 57 percent of the vote and majorities in every region, including single-mandate districts, amid record turnout despite external disruptions. This outcome aligns with historical patterns where the party leverages institutional resources to maintain dominance, producing the near-certain trader consensus reflected in current pricing. Only extraordinary late revisions to certified results, disputes over occupied territories, or unforeseen procedural challenges could alter the resolution.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Russia party list receives the greatest number of valid votes of any party list in each individual region in the 2026 Russian legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a region means any federal subject of the Russian Federation for which results of the federal party-list vote are separately reported by the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve solely according to the valid votes received by each party list in each region. The number of seats won by any party, including any seats won in single-member constituencies, will have no bearing on resolution.
If the United Russia party list is tied with multiple party lists for the greatest number of valid votes in a region, United Russia will be considered to have received the greatest number of valid votes in that region for the purposes of this market.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Russia party list receives the greatest number of valid votes of any party list in each individual region in the 2026 Russian legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a region means any federal subject of the Russian Federation for which results of the federal party-list vote are separately reported by the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve solely according to the valid votes received by each party list in each region. The number of seats won by any party, including any seats won in single-member constituencies, will have no bearing on resolution.
If the United Russia party list is tied with multiple party lists for the greatest number of valid votes in a region, United Russia will be considered to have received the greatest number of valid votes in that region for the purposes of this market.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Market Opened: Aug 7, 2026, 9:54 AM ET
Volume
$933,986End Date
Oct 1, 2027Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 9:54 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Russia party list receives the greatest number of valid votes of any party list in each individual region in the 2026 Russian legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a region means any federal subject of the Russian Federation for which results of the federal party-list vote are separately reported by the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve solely according to the valid votes received by each party list in each region. The number of seats won by any party, including any seats won in single-member constituencies, will have no bearing on resolution.
If the United Russia party list is tied with multiple party lists for the greatest number of valid votes in a region, United Russia will be considered to have received the greatest number of valid votes in that region for the purposes of this market.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Russia's ruling United Russia party secured victories across all regional legislative assemblies and gubernatorial races in the September 2026 elections, consistent with its long-standing structural advantages in a system featuring restricted opposition participation and centralized administrative control. Official tallies from the Central Election Commission show the party exceeding prior benchmarks with over 57 percent of the vote and majorities in every region, including single-mandate districts, amid record turnout despite external disruptions. This outcome aligns with historical patterns where the party leverages institutional resources to maintain dominance, producing the near-certain trader consensus reflected in current pricing. Only extraordinary late revisions to certified results, disputes over occupied territories, or unforeseen procedural challenges could alter the resolution.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Russia party list receives the greatest number of valid votes of any party list in each individual region in the 2026 Russian legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a region means any federal subject of the Russian Federation for which results of the federal party-list vote are separately reported by the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve solely according to the valid votes received by each party list in each region. The number of seats won by any party, including any seats won in single-member constituencies, will have no bearing on resolution.
If the United Russia party list is tied with multiple party lists for the greatest number of valid votes in a region, United Russia will be considered to have received the greatest number of valid votes in that region for the purposes of this market.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Russia party list receives the greatest number of valid votes of any party list in each individual region in the 2026 Russian legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a region means any federal subject of the Russian Federation for which results of the federal party-list vote are separately reported by the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve solely according to the valid votes received by each party list in each region. The number of seats won by any party, including any seats won in single-member constituencies, will have no bearing on resolution.
If the United Russia party list is tied with multiple party lists for the greatest number of valid votes in a region, United Russia will be considered to have received the greatest number of valid votes in that region for the purposes of this market.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Volume
$933,986End Date
Oct 1, 2027Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 9:54 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Russia's ruling United Russia party secured victories across all regional legislative assemblies and gubernatorial races in the September 2026 elections, consistent with its long-standing structural advantages in a system featuring restricted opposition participation and centralized administrative control. Official tallies from the Central Election Commission show the party exceeding prior benchmarks with over 57 percent of the vote and majorities in every region, including single-mandate districts, amid record turnout despite external disruptions. This outcome aligns with historical patterns where the party leverages institutional resources to maintain dominance, producing the near-certain trader consensus reflected in current pricing. Only extraordinary late revisions to certified results, disputes over occupied territories, or unforeseen procedural challenges could alter the resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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