Preliminary election results from Russia’s September 18–20 State Duma vote show the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) securing third place with roughly 9% of the party-list vote, ahead of New People at about 8%, consistent with Central Election Commission tallies processed so far. LDPR benefited from its long-standing nationalist positioning and disciplined core electorate, which translated into stronger single-mandate district showings and overall seat projections around 24–25. New People improved on prior performance through urban and business-oriented appeals but could not close the gap. With vote counting largely complete and margins stable, only a significant late revision in official figures would alter the third-place outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRussia Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
$255,814 Vol.
$255,814 Vol.

Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
98%

New People (NL)
3%
$255,814 Vol.
$255,814 Vol.

Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
98%

New People (NL)
3%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Market Opened: Apr 21, 2026, 3:42 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Preliminary election results from Russia’s September 18–20 State Duma vote show the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) securing third place with roughly 9% of the party-list vote, ahead of New People at about 8%, consistent with Central Election Commission tallies processed so far. LDPR benefited from its long-standing nationalist positioning and disciplined core electorate, which translated into stronger single-mandate district showings and overall seat projections around 24–25. New People improved on prior performance through urban and business-oriented appeals but could not close the gap. With vote counting largely complete and margins stable, only a significant late revision in official figures would alter the third-place outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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