Republican state Sen. Brent Taylor holds a strong edge in the newly configured Tennessee 9th District due to 2026 redistricting that shifted the seat from a long-held Democratic stronghold to one favoring Republicans by roughly 20 points based on prior presidential results. The map change, enacted in a May special session, prompted longtime Rep. Steve Cohen’s retirement and created an open race stretching across West and Middle Tennessee counties. Taylor secured the GOP nomination in the August primary with President Trump’s endorsement and substantial self-funding, while Democrat state Rep. Justin Pearson won his primary but trails in the sole recent head-to-head survey at 48-44. Traders view the structural partisan shift and Republican organizational advantages as decisive barriers for Pearson despite his statewide profile.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedTN-09 House Election Winner
TN-09 House Election Winner
$45,796 Vol.
$45,796 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Brent Taylor (R)
88%
Justin Pearson (D)
13%
$45,796 Vol.
$45,796 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Brent Taylor (R)
$25,161 Vol.
88%
Justin Pearson (D)
$20,634 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican state Sen. Brent Taylor holds a strong edge in the newly configured Tennessee 9th District due to 2026 redistricting that shifted the seat from a long-held Democratic stronghold to one favoring Republicans by roughly 20 points based on prior presidential results. The map change, enacted in a May special session, prompted longtime Rep. Steve Cohen’s retirement and created an open race stretching across West and Middle Tennessee counties. Taylor secured the GOP nomination in the August primary with President Trump’s endorsement and substantial self-funding, while Democrat state Rep. Justin Pearson won his primary but trails in the sole recent head-to-head survey at 48-44. Traders view the structural partisan shift and Republican organizational advantages as decisive barriers for Pearson despite his statewide profile.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$45,796End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican state Sen. Brent Taylor holds a strong edge in the newly configured Tennessee 9th District due to 2026 redistricting that shifted the seat from a long-held Democratic stronghold to one favoring Republicans by roughly 20 points based on prior presidential results. The map change, enacted in a May special session, prompted longtime Rep. Steve Cohen’s retirement and created an open race stretching across West and Middle Tennessee counties. Taylor secured the GOP nomination in the August primary with President Trump’s endorsement and substantial self-funding, while Democrat state Rep. Justin Pearson won his primary but trails in the sole recent head-to-head survey at 48-44. Traders view the structural partisan shift and Republican organizational advantages as decisive barriers for Pearson despite his statewide profile.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$45,796End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican state Sen. Brent Taylor holds a strong edge in the newly configured Tennessee 9th District due to 2026 redistricting that shifted the seat from a long-held Democratic stronghold to one favoring Republicans by roughly 20 points based on prior presidential results. The map change, enacted in a May special session, prompted longtime Rep. Steve Cohen’s retirement and created an open race stretching across West and Middle Tennessee counties. Taylor secured the GOP nomination in the August primary with President Trump’s endorsement and substantial self-funding, while Democrat state Rep. Justin Pearson won his primary but trails in the sole recent head-to-head survey at 48-44. Traders view the structural partisan shift and Republican organizational advantages as decisive barriers for Pearson despite his statewide profile.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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