**Trader consensus on this market reflects the early stage of 2028 positioning, with no major listed Republicans having made formal announcements as of September 2026.** Only minor unlisted figures, such as television writer Dan Greaney and former NBA player Royce White, have declared, which underpins the 50% price on "Other." Vice President J.D. Vance leads named options at 35.5% due to his role as the administration's prominent successor figure, though he has repeatedly stated he will address a potential bid only after the November 2026 midterms and remains focused on current duties. Florida Governor Ron DeSantis holds the next position at 20.5% amid ongoing visibility on policy and fundraising through his PAC, despite his 2024 primary experience. Lower probabilities for senators like Rand Paul and Ted Cruz, along with others, align with limited recent movement toward formal entry. Announcements are widely expected to accelerate after the midterms, with the market hinging on the first official declaration rather than exploratory steps.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedJ.D. Vance 36%
Ron DeSantis 21%
Rand Paul 13.1%
Ted Cruz 9%
$11,189 Vol.
$11,189 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
J.D. Vance
36%
Ron DeSantis
21%
Rand Paul
13%
Ted Cruz
9%
Marco Rubio
6%
Donald Trump Jr.
6%
Donald Trump
5%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
3%
Glenn Youngkin
1%
Vivek Ramaswamy
1%
J.D. Vance 36%
Ron DeSantis 21%
Rand Paul 13.1%
Ted Cruz 9%
$11,189 Vol.
$11,189 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
J.D. Vance
$1,877 Vol.
36%
Ron DeSantis
$395 Vol.
21%
Rand Paul
$1,028 Vol.
13%
Ted Cruz
$5,286 Vol.
9%
Marco Rubio
$439 Vol.
6%
Donald Trump Jr.
$176 Vol.
6%
Donald Trump
$1,220 Vol.
5%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
$199 Vol.
3%
Glenn Youngkin
$207 Vol.
1%
Vivek Ramaswamy
$363 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market.
The listed individuals are: J.D. Vance, Marco Rubio, Ron DeSantis, Donald Trump, Donald Trump Jr., Glenn Youngkin, Vivek Ramaswamy, Ted Cruz, Rand Paul, and Marjorie Taylor Greene.
An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Trader consensus on this market reflects the early stage of 2028 positioning, with no major listed Republicans having made formal announcements as of September 2026.** Only minor unlisted figures, such as television writer Dan Greaney and former NBA player Royce White, have declared, which underpins the 50% price on "Other." Vice President J.D. Vance leads named options at 35.5% due to his role as the administration's prominent successor figure, though he has repeatedly stated he will address a potential bid only after the November 2026 midterms and remains focused on current duties. Florida Governor Ron DeSantis holds the next position at 20.5% amid ongoing visibility on policy and fundraising through his PAC, despite his 2024 primary experience. Lower probabilities for senators like Rand Paul and Ted Cruz, along with others, align with limited recent movement toward formal entry. Announcements are widely expected to accelerate after the midterms, with the market hinging on the first official declaration rather than exploratory steps.
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market.
The listed individuals are: J.D. Vance, Marco Rubio, Ron DeSantis, Donald Trump, Donald Trump Jr., Glenn Youngkin, Vivek Ramaswamy, Ted Cruz, Rand Paul, and Marjorie Taylor Greene.
An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The listed individuals are: J.D. Vance, Marco Rubio, Ron DeSantis, Donald Trump, Donald Trump Jr., Glenn Youngkin, Vivek Ramaswamy, Ted Cruz, Rand Paul, and Marjorie Taylor Greene.
An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 21, 2026, 6:58 PM ET
Volume
$11,189End Date
Jan 1, 2028Market Opened
Jul 21, 2026, 6:58 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market.
The listed individuals are: J.D. Vance, Marco Rubio, Ron DeSantis, Donald Trump, Donald Trump Jr., Glenn Youngkin, Vivek Ramaswamy, Ted Cruz, Rand Paul, and Marjorie Taylor Greene.
An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Trader consensus on this market reflects the early stage of 2028 positioning, with no major listed Republicans having made formal announcements as of September 2026.** Only minor unlisted figures, such as television writer Dan Greaney and former NBA player Royce White, have declared, which underpins the 50% price on "Other." Vice President J.D. Vance leads named options at 35.5% due to his role as the administration's prominent successor figure, though he has repeatedly stated he will address a potential bid only after the November 2026 midterms and remains focused on current duties. Florida Governor Ron DeSantis holds the next position at 20.5% amid ongoing visibility on policy and fundraising through his PAC, despite his 2024 primary experience. Lower probabilities for senators like Rand Paul and Ted Cruz, along with others, align with limited recent movement toward formal entry. Announcements are widely expected to accelerate after the midterms, with the market hinging on the first official declaration rather than exploratory steps.
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market.
The listed individuals are: J.D. Vance, Marco Rubio, Ron DeSantis, Donald Trump, Donald Trump Jr., Glenn Youngkin, Vivek Ramaswamy, Ted Cruz, Rand Paul, and Marjorie Taylor Greene.
An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The listed individuals are: J.D. Vance, Marco Rubio, Ron DeSantis, Donald Trump, Donald Trump Jr., Glenn Youngkin, Vivek Ramaswamy, Ted Cruz, Rand Paul, and Marjorie Taylor Greene.
An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$11,189End Date
Jan 1, 2028Market Opened
Jul 21, 2026, 6:58 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus on this market reflects the early stage of 2028 positioning, with no major listed Republicans having made formal announcements as of September 2026.** Only minor unlisted figures, such as television writer Dan Greaney and former NBA player Royce White, have declared, which underpins the 50% price on "Other." Vice President J.D. Vance leads named options at 35.5% due to his role as the administration's prominent successor figure, though he has repeatedly stated he will address a potential bid only after the November 2026 midterms and remains focused on current duties. Florida Governor Ron DeSantis holds the next position at 20.5% amid ongoing visibility on policy and fundraising through his PAC, despite his 2024 primary experience. Lower probabilities for senators like Rand Paul and Ted Cruz, along with others, align with limited recent movement toward formal entry. Announcements are widely expected to accelerate after the midterms, with the market hinging on the first official declaration rather than exploratory steps.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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