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icon for Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?
Politics·President

Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?

icon for Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?
Politics·President

Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?

$85,336 Vol.

Dec 31, 2027
Polymarket

$85,336 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Andy Beshear

Andy Beshear

$953 Vol.

95%

icon for J.D. Vance

J.D. Vance

$1,835 Vol.

90%

icon for Pete Buttigieg

Pete Buttigieg

$545 Vol.

85%

icon for Rahm Emanuel

Rahm Emanuel

$310 Vol.

70%

icon for Ron DeSantis

Ron DeSantis

$513 Vol.

66%

icon for Gavin Newsom

Gavin Newsom

$5,665 Vol.

65%

icon for Ted Cruz

Ted Cruz

$3,198 Vol.

65%

icon for Andrew Yang

Andrew Yang

$2,244 Vol.

65%

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Josh Shapiro

$276 Vol.

53%

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Cory Booker

$991 Vol.

57%

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Mark Kelly

$501 Vol.

59%

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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$3,756 Vol.

52%

icon for Jon Ossoff

Jon Ossoff

$2,502 Vol.

53%

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Kamala Harris

$3,008 Vol.

47%

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Wes Moore

$170 Vol.

53%

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J.B. Pritzker

$332 Vol.

50%

icon for Jared Polis

Jared Polis

$80 Vol.

37%

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Marco Rubio

$2,224 Vol.

36%

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Raphael Warnock

$130 Vol.

35%

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Kristi Noem

$0 Vol.

35%

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Rand Paul

$121 Vol.

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Glenn Youngkin

$468 Vol.

33%

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Marjorie Taylor Greene

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29%

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Gretchen Whitmer

$865 Vol.

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Hunter Biden

$4,318 Vol.

27%

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Nikki Haley

$260 Vol.

26%

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John Fetterman

$1,824 Vol.

26%

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Brian Kemp

$262 Vol.

26%

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Greg Abbott

$0 Vol.

24%

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Byron Donalds

$64 Vol.

24%

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Vivek Ramaswamy

$252 Vol.

23%

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Phil Murphy

$665 Vol.

22%

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Elise Stefanik

$80 Vol.

22%

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Don Lemon

$20 Vol.

21%

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Gina Raimondo

$1,241 Vol.

21%

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Sarah Huckabee Sanders

$0 Vol.

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Katie Britt

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Mark Cuban

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Tulsi Gabbard

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Donald Trump Jr.

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Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

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Matt Gaetz

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Beto O’Rourke

$0 Vol.

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Ivanka Trump

$140 Vol.

6%

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Hillary Clinton

$4,597 Vol.

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icon for Barack Obama

Barack Obama

$628 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2028 presidential race remains open following President Donald Trump’s term-limited second term, with no major-party candidates having formally announced or filed exploratory committees as of September 2026. Early positioning centers on Vice President JD Vance and Secretary of State Marco Rubio among Republicans, alongside Kamala Harris, Gavin Newsom, and Pete Buttigieg on the Democratic side, as reflected in national and state-level polling. Recent statements include Newsom indicating he would not challenge Harris and Rubio emphasizing focus on his current roles without ruling out a future bid. Activity is widely expected to accelerate after the November 2026 midterms, when potential contenders typically form committees, visit early primary states, and begin formal announcements throughout 2027 ahead of 2028 primaries. Trader probabilities track name recognition, polling trends, and these structural timelines rather than confirmed intentions.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$85,336
End Date
Jan 1, 2028
Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 5:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2028 presidential race remains open following President Donald Trump’s term-limited second term, with no major-party candidates having formally announced or filed exploratory committees as of September 2026. Early positioning centers on Vice President JD Vance and Secretary of State Marco Rubio among Republicans, alongside Kamala Harris, Gavin Newsom, and Pete Buttigieg on the Democratic side, as reflected in national and state-level polling. Recent statements include Newsom indicating he would not challenge Harris and Rubio emphasizing focus on his current roles without ruling out a future bid. Activity is widely expected to accelerate after the November 2026 midterms, when potential contenders typically form committees, visit early primary states, and begin formal announcements throughout 2027 ahead of 2028 primaries. Trader probabilities track name recognition, polling trends, and these structural timelines rather than confirmed intentions.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$85,336
End Date
Jan 1, 2028
Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 5:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 71+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Andy Beshear" at 95%, followed by "J.D. Vance" at 90%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 95¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?" has generated $85.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 4, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?," browse the 71+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?" is "Andy Beshear" at 95%, meaning the market assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "J.D. Vance" at 90%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.