Trader consensus prices "No" at 96%, reflecting insurmountable constitutional barriers under Article IV, Section 3 of the U.S. Constitution, which requires congressional approval for new states, alongside Venezuela's sovereign status and lack of mutual consent. President Trump's May 11-13 remarks "seriously considering" annexation—highlighted by Truth Social maps depicting Venezuela as the 51st state amid its $40 trillion oil reserves—drew swift rejection from acting President Delcy Rodríguez, who affirmed national sovereignty. Following the January 2026 Operation Absolute Resolve capturing Nicolás Maduro, U.S.-Venezuela ties have warmed via oil exports and sanctions relief, but focus remains on transitional stability and alliance-building, not statehood. Realistic shifts would demand a Venezuelan referendum, congressional supermajority, and diplomatic breakthroughs, scenarios traders deem near-impossible before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWill Venezuela become 51st state?
Will Venezuela become 51st state?
$195,146 Vol.
$195,146 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$195,146 Vol.
$195,146 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" any portion of Venezuela is formally annexed into the United States of America and becomes the 51st state between January 3, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 96%, reflecting insurmountable constitutional barriers under Article IV, Section 3 of the U.S. Constitution, which requires congressional approval for new states, alongside Venezuela's sovereign status and lack of mutual consent. President Trump's May 11-13 remarks "seriously considering" annexation—highlighted by Truth Social maps depicting Venezuela as the 51st state amid its $40 trillion oil reserves—drew swift rejection from acting President Delcy Rodríguez, who affirmed national sovereignty. Following the January 2026 Operation Absolute Resolve capturing Nicolás Maduro, U.S.-Venezuela ties have warmed via oil exports and sanctions relief, but focus remains on transitional stability and alliance-building, not statehood. Realistic shifts would demand a Venezuelan referendum, congressional supermajority, and diplomatic breakthroughs, scenarios traders deem near-impossible before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" any portion of Venezuela is formally annexed into the United States of America and becomes the 51st state between January 3, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Jan 3, 2026, 7:18 PM ET
Volume
$195,146End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jan 3, 2026, 7:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" any portion of Venezuela is formally annexed into the United States of America and becomes the 51st state between January 3, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 96%, reflecting insurmountable constitutional barriers under Article IV, Section 3 of the U.S. Constitution, which requires congressional approval for new states, alongside Venezuela's sovereign status and lack of mutual consent. President Trump's May 11-13 remarks "seriously considering" annexation—highlighted by Truth Social maps depicting Venezuela as the 51st state amid its $40 trillion oil reserves—drew swift rejection from acting President Delcy Rodríguez, who affirmed national sovereignty. Following the January 2026 Operation Absolute Resolve capturing Nicolás Maduro, U.S.-Venezuela ties have warmed via oil exports and sanctions relief, but focus remains on transitional stability and alliance-building, not statehood. Realistic shifts would demand a Venezuelan referendum, congressional supermajority, and diplomatic breakthroughs, scenarios traders deem near-impossible before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" any portion of Venezuela is formally annexed into the United States of America and becomes the 51st state between January 3, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$195,146End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jan 3, 2026, 7:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 96%, reflecting insurmountable constitutional barriers under Article IV, Section 3 of the U.S. Constitution, which requires congressional approval for new states, alongside Venezuela's sovereign status and lack of mutual consent. President Trump's May 11-13 remarks "seriously considering" annexation—highlighted by Truth Social maps depicting Venezuela as the 51st state amid its $40 trillion oil reserves—drew swift rejection from acting President Delcy Rodríguez, who affirmed national sovereignty. Following the January 2026 Operation Absolute Resolve capturing Nicolás Maduro, U.S.-Venezuela ties have warmed via oil exports and sanctions relief, but focus remains on transitional stability and alliance-building, not statehood. Realistic shifts would demand a Venezuelan referendum, congressional supermajority, and diplomatic breakthroughs, scenarios traders deem near-impossible before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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