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Palestine predictions & odds

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Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?

Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?

21%

The Netherlands

$625K Vol.

$74.3K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?

Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?

4%

$90.9K Vol.

$17.6K Liq.

14

Ends in about 2 months

Israel false flag attack confirmed?

Israel false flag attack confirmed?

-

$1 Vol.

$141 Liq.

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

36%

5

$7M Vol.

$337K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

45%

↑ 10 ETH

$3.5K Vol.

$1.1K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

93%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$5.7K Liq.

123

Ends in about 2 months

Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?

Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?

12%

$67.7K Vol.

$16.2K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Israel Announces Ceasefire Extended by...?

Israel Announces Ceasefire Extended by...?

65%

May 17

$63.3K Vol.

$62.6K today

$113K Liq.

1

Ends in 3 days

Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

7%

June 30

$613K Vol.

$11.1K Liq.

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

13%

$50.1K Vol.

$8.6K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?

Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?

31%

$139K Vol.

$13.4K Liq.

282

Ends in 17 days

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

14%

May 31

$136K Vol.

$8.7K Liq.

10

Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...?

Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...?

9%

December 31

$120K Vol.

$11.8K Liq.

3

Ends in 8 months

T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier A: Cyprus vs France

T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier A: Cyprus vs France

56%

France

$0 Vol.

$164 Liq.

Ends in 9 days

What will Apple (AAPL) hit in May 2026?

What will Apple (AAPL) hit in May 2026?

71%

↑ $304

$99.2K Vol.

$32.5K Liq.

Ends in 18 days

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...?

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...?

43%

December 31

$552K Vol.

$18.1K Liq.

11

Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?

Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?

30%

$14.0K Vol.

$2.3K Liq.

1

Ends in about 2 months

T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier A: Austria vs Malta

T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier A: Austria vs Malta

81%

Austria

$0 Vol.

$191 Liq.

Ends in 9 days

US announces shutdown of Gaza military center by May 15?

US announces shutdown of Gaza military center by May 15?

1%

$10.2K Vol.

$9.9K Liq.

1

Ends in about 18 hours

Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?

Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?

4%

Lebanon

$319K Vol.

$66.4K Liq.

11

Ends in about 2 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Palestine.

Polymarket currently hosts 101 active markets for Palestine that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $12.1M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 36% chance to 5. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Palestine predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.