Republican control of the House with a narrow majority stands as the central barrier to impeachment by December 31, 2026, since any articles require a simple majority vote there. Recent Democratic calls for removal, intensified in April 2026 by President Trump's rhetoric during the Iran conflict, have produced multiple resolutions and polling showing majority public support, yet no Republicans have joined these efforts. The current congressional calendar further limits prospects, as the 119th Congress remains in session through the end of the year and midterm results would seat a new House only in January 2027. Traders reflect this institutional reality in the 87 percent probability assigned to the "No" outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$709,151 Vol.
$709,151 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Earn 4%
$709,151 Vol.
$709,151 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Earn 4%
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Republican control of the House with a narrow majority stands as the central barrier to impeachment by December 31, 2026, since any articles require a simple majority vote there. Recent Democratic calls for removal, intensified in April 2026 by President Trump's rhetoric during the Iran conflict, have produced multiple resolutions and polling showing majority public support, yet no Republicans have joined these efforts. The current congressional calendar further limits prospects, as the 119th Congress remains in session through the end of the year and midterm results would seat a new House only in January 2027. Traders reflect this institutional reality in the 87 percent probability assigned to the "No" outcome.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Market Opened: Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ET
Volume
$709,151End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Republican control of the House with a narrow majority stands as the central barrier to impeachment by December 31, 2026, since any articles require a simple majority vote there. Recent Democratic calls for removal, intensified in April 2026 by President Trump's rhetoric during the Iran conflict, have produced multiple resolutions and polling showing majority public support, yet no Republicans have joined these efforts. The current congressional calendar further limits prospects, as the 119th Congress remains in session through the end of the year and midterm results would seat a new House only in January 2027. Traders reflect this institutional reality in the 87 percent probability assigned to the "No" outcome.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Volume
$709,151End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Republican control of the House with a narrow majority stands as the central barrier to impeachment by December 31, 2026, since any articles require a simple majority vote there. Recent Democratic calls for removal, intensified in April 2026 by President Trump's rhetoric during the Iran conflict, have produced multiple resolutions and polling showing majority public support, yet no Republicans have joined these efforts. The current congressional calendar further limits prospects, as the 119th Congress remains in session through the end of the year and midterm results would seat a new House only in January 2027. Traders reflect this institutional reality in the 87 percent probability assigned to the "No" outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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