Current forecasts for Panama City indicate a June-typical daily maximum near 30–31 °C, with model consensus from regional meteorological guidance showing modest afternoon heating under partly cloudy skies and scattered convection. The near-even split between 31 °C and 32 °C market-implied odds stems from uncertainty in peak insolation versus the timing and intensity of tropical showers, which can suppress temperatures by 1–2 °C depending on cloud cover and rainfall onset. Historical June climatology places the mean high around 29–30 °C with low day-to-day variability driven by consistent trade-wind moisture and the northward migration of the ITCZ; traders appear to weigh recent model runs favoring slightly drier conditions or delayed convection that could allow brief clearing and an extra degree of warming before resolution criteria are met.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月14日巴拿馬城的最高溫度?
32°C 47%
31°C 40%
30°C 11%
33°C 3.6%
$13,909 交易量
$13,909 交易量
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
11%
31°C
40%
32°C
47%
33°C
4%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C或以上
<1%
32°C 47%
31°C 40%
30°C 11%
33°C 3.6%
$13,909 交易量
$13,909 交易量
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
11%
31°C
40%
32°C
47%
33°C
4%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 12, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts for Panama City indicate a June-typical daily maximum near 30–31 °C, with model consensus from regional meteorological guidance showing modest afternoon heating under partly cloudy skies and scattered convection. The near-even split between 31 °C and 32 °C market-implied odds stems from uncertainty in peak insolation versus the timing and intensity of tropical showers, which can suppress temperatures by 1–2 °C depending on cloud cover and rainfall onset. Historical June climatology places the mean high around 29–30 °C with low day-to-day variability driven by consistent trade-wind moisture and the northward migration of the ITCZ; traders appear to weigh recent model runs favoring slightly drier conditions or delayed convection that could allow brief clearing and an extra degree of warming before resolution criteria are met.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions