Latest Met Office guidance and ensemble forecasts have converged on an overnight minimum of 13 °C in London for June 14, driving the 99.4 % market-implied probability for that exact outcome. Clear skies and light winds have promoted radiative cooling after daytime highs near 21–22 °C, consistent with mid-June climatology where average lows at Heathrow range 12–14 °C. Official resolution relies on verified station data, typically Heathrow, so traders are pricing the narrow window around this consensus reading. Only a late surge in cloud cover, unexpected wind increase, or measurement revision could shift the recorded low, though current observational trends make such deviations improbable before noon resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月14日倫敦的最低溫度?
13°C 99.4%
12°C <1%
11°C <1%
14°C <1%
$20,113 交易量
$20,113 交易量
7°C或以下
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
99%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C或以上
<1%
13°C 99.4%
12°C <1%
11°C <1%
14°C <1%
$20,113 交易量
$20,113 交易量
7°C或以下
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
99%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest Met Office guidance and ensemble forecasts have converged on an overnight minimum of 13 °C in London for June 14, driving the 99.4 % market-implied probability for that exact outcome. Clear skies and light winds have promoted radiative cooling after daytime highs near 21–22 °C, consistent with mid-June climatology where average lows at Heathrow range 12–14 °C. Official resolution relies on verified station data, typically Heathrow, so traders are pricing the narrow window around this consensus reading. Only a late surge in cloud cover, unexpected wind increase, or measurement revision could shift the recorded low, though current observational trends make such deviations improbable before noon resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions