Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate project Shanghai's overnight low on June 14 near 20–21°C amid rain showers and overcast skies, aligning with mid-June climatology where average lows range 20–22°C. This data, combined with model consensus on limited nocturnal cooling under humid, stable conditions, underpins the 99.5% market-implied probability for exactly 20°C. A realistic shift could occur only if official station readings—typically from standardized urban sites—register a deviation due to localized microclimates or unforecasted wind changes, though such variance remains unlikely given the tight forecast spread.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月14日上海最低溫度？
6月14日上海最低溫度？
20°C 99.4%
19°C <1%
17°C或以下 <1%
18°C <1%
$59,221 交易量
$59,221 交易量
2026-06-14
17°C或以下
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
99%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C或以上
<1%
20°C 99.4%
19°C <1%
17°C或以下 <1%
18°C <1%
$59,221 交易量
$59,221 交易量
2026-06-14
17°C或以下
$2,921 交易量
<1%
18°C
$4,861 交易量
<1%
19°C
$3,780 交易量
1%
20°C
$5,350 交易量
99%
21°C
$6,849 交易量
<1%
22°C
$6,849 交易量
<1%
23°C
$8,138 交易量
<1%
24°C
$8,002 交易量
<1%
25°C
$7,679 交易量
<1%
26°C
$2,257 交易量
<1%
27°C或以上
$2,811 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate project Shanghai's overnight low on June 14 near 20–21°C amid rain showers and overcast skies, aligning with mid-June climatology where average lows range 20–22°C. This data, combined with model consensus on limited nocturnal cooling under humid, stable conditions, underpins the 99.5% market-implied probability for exactly 20°C. A realistic shift could occur only if official station readings—typically from standardized urban sites—register a deviation due to localized microclimates or unforecasted wind changes, though such variance remains unlikely given the tight forecast spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$59,221結束日期
2026-06-14市場開放時間
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate project Shanghai's overnight low on June 14 near 20–21°C amid rain showers and overcast skies, aligning with mid-June climatology where average lows range 20–22°C. This data, combined with model consensus on limited nocturnal cooling under humid, stable conditions, underpins the 99.5% market-implied probability for exactly 20°C. A realistic shift could occur only if official station readings—typically from standardized urban sites—register a deviation due to localized microclimates or unforecasted wind changes, though such variance remains unlikely given the tight forecast spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$59,221結束日期
2026-06-14市場開放時間
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate project Shanghai's overnight low on June 14 near 20–21°C amid rain showers and overcast skies, aligning with mid-June climatology where average lows range 20–22°C. This data, combined with model consensus on limited nocturnal cooling under humid, stable conditions, underpins the 99.5% market-implied probability for exactly 20°C. A realistic shift could occur only if official station readings—typically from standardized urban sites—register a deviation due to localized microclimates or unforecasted wind changes, though such variance remains unlikely given the tight forecast spread.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions