Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Beijing's highest temperature reaching exactly 33°C today, driven by the latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and local observatories projecting a sunny day with highs peaking precisely at that mark under stable high-pressure conditions. Observational data from early morning shows temperatures rising steadily from overnight lows near 20°C, with low humidity (around 40-50%) and light southerly winds promoting efficient daytime heating without cloud interference or convective activity. Model ensembles, including those from global systems like ECMWF and GFS analogs, align on this outcome amid a broader northern China warm-up exceeding 30°C. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists, realistic challenges like an unexpected afternoon shower or abrupt wind shift would be needed to push the peak higher or lower; official end-of-day measurements from Beijing's Capital International Airport station will resolve the market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Beijing on May 13?
Highest temperature in Beijing on May 13?
33°C 100.0%
32°C or below <1%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
$151,890 交易量
$151,890 交易量
2026-05-13
32°C or below
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
32°C or below <1%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
$151,890 交易量
$151,890 交易量
2026-05-13
32°C or below
$33,598 交易量
No
33°C
$24,962 交易量
Yes
34°C
$17,949 交易量
No
35°C
$14,671 交易量
No
36°C
$9,865 交易量
No
37°C
$17,210 交易量
No
38°C
$10,117 交易量
No
39°C
$4,240 交易量
No
40°C
$4,890 交易量
No
41°C
$6,719 交易量
No
42°C or higher
$7,668 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Beijing's highest temperature reaching exactly 33°C today, driven by the latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and local observatories projecting a sunny day with highs peaking precisely at that mark under stable high-pressure conditions. Observational data from early morning shows temperatures rising steadily from overnight lows near 20°C, with low humidity (around 40-50%) and light southerly winds promoting efficient daytime heating without cloud interference or convective activity. Model ensembles, including those from global systems like ECMWF and GFS analogs, align on this outcome amid a broader northern China warm-up exceeding 30°C. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists, realistic challenges like an unexpected afternoon shower or abrupt wind shift would be needed to push the peak higher or lower; official end-of-day measurements from Beijing's Capital International Airport station will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 11, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
交易量
$151,890结束日期
2026-05-13市场开放时间
May 11, 2026, 12:10 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Beijing's highest temperature reaching exactly 33°C today, driven by the latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and local observatories projecting a sunny day with highs peaking precisely at that mark under stable high-pressure conditions. Observational data from early morning shows temperatures rising steadily from overnight lows near 20°C, with low humidity (around 40-50%) and light southerly winds promoting efficient daytime heating without cloud interference or convective activity. Model ensembles, including those from global systems like ECMWF and GFS analogs, align on this outcome amid a broader northern China warm-up exceeding 30°C. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists, realistic challenges like an unexpected afternoon shower or abrupt wind shift would be needed to push the peak higher or lower; official end-of-day measurements from Beijing's Capital International Airport station will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$151,890结束日期
2026-05-13市场开放时间
May 11, 2026, 12:10 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Beijing's highest temperature reaching exactly 33°C today, driven by the latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and local observatories projecting a sunny day with highs peaking precisely at that mark under stable high-pressure conditions. Observational data from early morning shows temperatures rising steadily from overnight lows near 20°C, with low humidity (around 40-50%) and light southerly winds promoting efficient daytime heating without cloud interference or convective activity. Model ensembles, including those from global systems like ECMWF and GFS analogs, align on this outcome amid a broader northern China warm-up exceeding 30°C. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists, realistic challenges like an unexpected afternoon shower or abrupt wind shift would be needed to push the peak higher or lower; official end-of-day measurements from Beijing's Capital International Airport station will resolve the market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题