Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Houston's highest temperature reaching 86°F or higher today, backed by National Weather Service forecasts calling for a peak near 92°F under mostly clear skies. A strong upper-level ridge over Texas is promoting subsidence aloft, inhibiting cloud development and maximizing solar insolation with light, variable winds—ideal for above-normal heating, exceeding the May 14 climatological average of 86°F at Bush Intercontinental Airport. Ensemble model guidance shows tight agreement on upper-80s to low-90s highs, with an Ozone Action Day alert underscoring stagnant, warm conditions. Realistic challenges include a sudden surge in Gulf moisture strengthening the sea breeze or unforecast pop-up showers, though current soundings indicate low likelihood; afternoon hourly observations from official stations will finalize resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Houston on May 14?
Highest temperature in Houston on May 14?
86°F or higher 100.0%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$17,403 交易量
$17,403 交易量
2026-05-14
67°F or below
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86°F or higher
Yes
86°F or higher 100.0%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$17,403 交易量
$17,403 交易量
2026-05-14
67°F or below
$814 交易量
No
68-69°F
$375 交易量
No
70-71°F
$764 交易量
No
72-73°F
$6,477 交易量
No
74-75°F
$654 交易量
No
76-77°F
$380 交易量
No
78-79°F
$327 交易量
No
80-81°F
$556 交易量
No
82-83°F
$2,759 交易量
No
84-85°F
$2,151 交易量
No
86°F or higher
$2,146 交易量
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Houston's highest temperature reaching 86°F or higher today, backed by National Weather Service forecasts calling for a peak near 92°F under mostly clear skies. A strong upper-level ridge over Texas is promoting subsidence aloft, inhibiting cloud development and maximizing solar insolation with light, variable winds—ideal for above-normal heating, exceeding the May 14 climatological average of 86°F at Bush Intercontinental Airport. Ensemble model guidance shows tight agreement on upper-80s to low-90s highs, with an Ozone Action Day alert underscoring stagnant, warm conditions. Realistic challenges include a sudden surge in Gulf moisture strengthening the sea breeze or unforecast pop-up showers, though current soundings indicate low likelihood; afternoon hourly observations from official stations will finalize resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 12, 2026, 12:46 AM ET
交易量
$17,403结束日期
2026-05-14市场开放时间
May 12, 2026, 12:46 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Houston's highest temperature reaching 86°F or higher today, backed by National Weather Service forecasts calling for a peak near 92°F under mostly clear skies. A strong upper-level ridge over Texas is promoting subsidence aloft, inhibiting cloud development and maximizing solar insolation with light, variable winds—ideal for above-normal heating, exceeding the May 14 climatological average of 86°F at Bush Intercontinental Airport. Ensemble model guidance shows tight agreement on upper-80s to low-90s highs, with an Ozone Action Day alert underscoring stagnant, warm conditions. Realistic challenges include a sudden surge in Gulf moisture strengthening the sea breeze or unforecast pop-up showers, though current soundings indicate low likelihood; afternoon hourly observations from official stations will finalize resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$17,403结束日期
2026-05-14市场开放时间
May 12, 2026, 12:46 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Houston's highest temperature reaching 86°F or higher today, backed by National Weather Service forecasts calling for a peak near 92°F under mostly clear skies. A strong upper-level ridge over Texas is promoting subsidence aloft, inhibiting cloud development and maximizing solar insolation with light, variable winds—ideal for above-normal heating, exceeding the May 14 climatological average of 86°F at Bush Intercontinental Airport. Ensemble model guidance shows tight agreement on upper-80s to low-90s highs, with an Ozone Action Day alert underscoring stagnant, warm conditions. Realistic challenges include a sudden surge in Gulf moisture strengthening the sea breeze or unforecast pop-up showers, though current soundings indicate low likelihood; afternoon hourly observations from official stations will finalize resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题