National Weather Service forecasts and regional model guidance currently project daytime highs in Miami on May 17 near the upper 80s Fahrenheit under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and typical early-summer humidity levels. This consensus drives the tight market split between the 86-87°F and 88-89°F outcomes, as small differences in afternoon cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could shift the peak temperature by 1-2 degrees. Ensemble runs show low probability for extremes below 84°F or above 90°F given the absence of strong frontal systems or enhanced moisture transport. Traders are closely monitoring the latest model updates and sounding data ahead of the resolution based on official Miami International Airport observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月17日迈阿密气温最高?
86-87°F 42%
88-89°F 38%
84-85°F 13%
90-91°F 6.6%
$21,884 交易量
$21,884 交易量
75°F或以下
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
13%
86-87°F
42%
88-89°F
38%
90-91°F
7%
92-93°F
3%
94华氏度或更高
<1%
86-87°F 42%
88-89°F 38%
84-85°F 13%
90-91°F 6.6%
$21,884 交易量
$21,884 交易量
75°F或以下
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
13%
86-87°F
42%
88-89°F
38%
90-91°F
7%
92-93°F
3%
94华氏度或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
National Weather Service forecasts and regional model guidance currently project daytime highs in Miami on May 17 near the upper 80s Fahrenheit under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and typical early-summer humidity levels. This consensus drives the tight market split between the 86-87°F and 88-89°F outcomes, as small differences in afternoon cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could shift the peak temperature by 1-2 degrees. Ensemble runs show low probability for extremes below 84°F or above 90°F given the absence of strong frontal systems or enhanced moisture transport. Traders are closely monitoring the latest model updates and sounding data ahead of the resolution based on official Miami International Airport observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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