Latest official forecasts from the Deutscher Wetterdienst place Munich’s maximum temperature on May 16 at 13 °C, driven by a cool northwesterly flow, persistent cloud cover, and light rain that have suppressed daytime warming. Mid-May climatological normals for the city range from 16–18 °C, so the current pattern represents a clear negative anomaly supported by both European and global model consensus. With only hours remaining before the official daily maximum is recorded at the Munich Airport station, traders have priced in near-certainty for the 13 °C bracket. A rapid clearing of skies or an unexpected warm-air advection would be required to push the reading into the next bracket, but current surface observations and short-range guidance show no such shift.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Munich on May 16?
13°C 100.0%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$82,259 交易量
$82,259 交易量
13°C
100%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
13°C 100.0%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$82,259 交易量
$82,259 交易量
13°C
100%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 14, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Latest official forecasts from the Deutscher Wetterdienst place Munich’s maximum temperature on May 16 at 13 °C, driven by a cool northwesterly flow, persistent cloud cover, and light rain that have suppressed daytime warming. Mid-May climatological normals for the city range from 16–18 °C, so the current pattern represents a clear negative anomaly supported by both European and global model consensus. With only hours remaining before the official daily maximum is recorded at the Munich Airport station, traders have priced in near-certainty for the 13 °C bracket. A rapid clearing of skies or an unexpected warm-air advection would be required to push the reading into the next bracket, but current surface observations and short-range guidance show no such shift.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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