Cool northwesterly flow beneath a stable high-pressure ridge kept daytime heating limited across southern Germany on May 16, with Deutscher Wetterdienst observations and European model consensus pinning Munich’s maximum temperature near 13 °C. This synoptic pattern suppressed warm advection and cloud cover that could otherwise have allowed brief afternoon peaks above the daily climatological mean of 16–18 °C. Trader consensus has converged on the 13 °C outcome because official station data align closely with the forecast envelope and historical analogs for similar May setups. Only an unusually strong localized thermal plume or a last-minute shift in the steering flow could realistically push the verified high to 14 °C or above before market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Munich on May 16?
13°C 100.0%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$82,323 交易量
$82,323 交易量
13°C
100%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
13°C 100.0%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$82,323 交易量
$82,323 交易量
13°C
100%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 14, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Cool northwesterly flow beneath a stable high-pressure ridge kept daytime heating limited across southern Germany on May 16, with Deutscher Wetterdienst observations and European model consensus pinning Munich’s maximum temperature near 13 °C. This synoptic pattern suppressed warm advection and cloud cover that could otherwise have allowed brief afternoon peaks above the daily climatological mean of 16–18 °C. Trader consensus has converged on the 13 °C outcome because official station data align closely with the forecast envelope and historical analogs for similar May setups. Only an unusually strong localized thermal plume or a last-minute shift in the steering flow could realistically push the verified high to 14 °C or above before market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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