Trader consensus at 100% for a 19°C high in Paris on June 9 reflects official forecasts from Météo-France and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, which project stable high pressure and modest northwesterly flow limiting daytime warming to that exact threshold. Observational data through early June show seasonal norms around 18–20°C with no heat advection or clear-sky amplification expected today, aligning model runs across ensembles. Resolution hinges on the official Paris-Montsouris station maximum, so minor revisions in boundary-layer mixing or localized urban effects represent the primary remaining uncertainty, though current guidance indicates negligible probability of deviation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月9日巴黎最高气温?
19°C 100.0%
15°C或以下 <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$97,235 交易量
$97,235 交易量
15°C或以下
否
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
否
19°C
是
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C或更高
否
19°C 100.0%
15°C或以下 <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$97,235 交易量
$97,235 交易量
15°C或以下
否
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
否
19°C
是
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 7, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Trader consensus at 100% for a 19°C high in Paris on June 9 reflects official forecasts from Météo-France and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, which project stable high pressure and modest northwesterly flow limiting daytime warming to that exact threshold. Observational data through early June show seasonal norms around 18–20°C with no heat advection or clear-sky amplification expected today, aligning model runs across ensembles. Resolution hinges on the official Paris-Montsouris station maximum, so minor revisions in boundary-layer mixing or localized urban effects represent the primary remaining uncertainty, though current guidance indicates negligible probability of deviation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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