Recent forecasts for Paris on May 18 show a narrow range of daytime highs centered on 15–17 °C, driven by a mild southwesterly flow and limited daytime heating under variable cloud cover. Numerical weather models currently cluster around a peak near 16 °C, yet small differences in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any brief showers keep the 15 °C and 16 °C outcomes nearly tied in trader pricing. Historical May climatology for the region places average highs near 18 °C, so the current cooler setup reflects a transient high-pressure influence that could shift with the next model cycle. Traders are watching the 48-hour forecast updates from Météo-France and ECMWF for any late adjustments in maximum temperature before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月18日巴黎气温最高?
16°C 36%
15°C 35%
17°C 20%
14°C 9%
$10,430 交易量
$10,430 交易量
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
2%
14°C
9%
15°C
35%
16°C
36%
17°C
20%
18°C
3%
19°C or higher
1%
16°C 36%
15°C 35%
17°C 20%
14°C 9%
$10,430 交易量
$10,430 交易量
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
2%
14°C
9%
15°C
35%
16°C
36%
17°C
20%
18°C
3%
19°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent forecasts for Paris on May 18 show a narrow range of daytime highs centered on 15–17 °C, driven by a mild southwesterly flow and limited daytime heating under variable cloud cover. Numerical weather models currently cluster around a peak near 16 °C, yet small differences in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any brief showers keep the 15 °C and 16 °C outcomes nearly tied in trader pricing. Historical May climatology for the region places average highs near 18 °C, so the current cooler setup reflects a transient high-pressure influence that could shift with the next model cycle. Traders are watching the 48-hour forecast updates from Météo-France and ECMWF for any late adjustments in maximum temperature before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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