Trader consensus on Polymarket has consolidated at 100% for a 58–59°F high in Seattle on May 16, reflecting the latest National Weather Service model runs and supporting numerical guidance that converged on this narrow range for Seattle-Tacoma International Airport. This outcome aligns with cooler-than-normal mid-May conditions driven by a persistent onshore marine flow that limited daytime warming and kept afternoon temperatures well below the seasonal average of roughly 67°F. Official observations at KSEA, the resolution source, are expected to confirm the forecast without significant deviation, as model spread narrowed sharply in the final 24–48 hours. Only an unanticipated measurement revision or station-specific anomaly could shift the result outside this bin.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月16日西雅图的最高温度？
5月16日西雅图的最高温度？
58-59°F 100.0%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
64-65°F <1%
$93,319 交易量
$93,319 交易量
2026-05-16
58-59°F
100%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66°F或更高
<1%
58-59°F 100.0%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
64-65°F <1%
$93,319 交易量
$93,319 交易量
2026-05-16
58-59°F
$8,804 交易量
100%
60-61°F
$14,402 交易量
<1%
62-63°F
$9,448 交易量
<1%
64-65°F
$1,754 交易量
<1%
66°F或更高
$2,236 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has consolidated at 100% for a 58–59°F high in Seattle on May 16, reflecting the latest National Weather Service model runs and supporting numerical guidance that converged on this narrow range for Seattle-Tacoma International Airport. This outcome aligns with cooler-than-normal mid-May conditions driven by a persistent onshore marine flow that limited daytime warming and kept afternoon temperatures well below the seasonal average of roughly 67°F. Official observations at KSEA, the resolution source, are expected to confirm the forecast without significant deviation, as model spread narrowed sharply in the final 24–48 hours. Only an unanticipated measurement revision or station-specific anomaly could shift the result outside this bin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
交易量
$93,319结束日期
2026-05-16市场开放时间
May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has consolidated at 100% for a 58–59°F high in Seattle on May 16, reflecting the latest National Weather Service model runs and supporting numerical guidance that converged on this narrow range for Seattle-Tacoma International Airport. This outcome aligns with cooler-than-normal mid-May conditions driven by a persistent onshore marine flow that limited daytime warming and kept afternoon temperatures well below the seasonal average of roughly 67°F. Official observations at KSEA, the resolution source, are expected to confirm the forecast without significant deviation, as model spread narrowed sharply in the final 24–48 hours. Only an unanticipated measurement revision or station-specific anomaly could shift the result outside this bin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$93,319结束日期
2026-05-16市场开放时间
May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket has consolidated at 100% for a 58–59°F high in Seattle on May 16, reflecting the latest National Weather Service model runs and supporting numerical guidance that converged on this narrow range for Seattle-Tacoma International Airport. This outcome aligns with cooler-than-normal mid-May conditions driven by a persistent onshore marine flow that limited daytime warming and kept afternoon temperatures well below the seasonal average of roughly 67°F. Official observations at KSEA, the resolution source, are expected to confirm the forecast without significant deviation, as model spread narrowed sharply in the final 24–48 hours. Only an unanticipated measurement revision or station-specific anomaly could shift the result outside this bin.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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