Trader sentiment for Toronto's highest temperature on May 18 centers on 29°C at 31% implied probability amid a broad distribution reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty. Ensemble models from official agencies show mild spring conditions with southerly flow and moderate solar insolation potentially driving peak readings near 28–30°C, consistent with climatological mid-May baselines around 18–20°C but elevated by 2026's warmer-than-average pattern. Key variables include afternoon cloud cover and any convective development that could suppress maxima, versus clearer skies or subsidence allowing 31°C or higher. Lower outcomes gain support if precipitation or stronger northerly advection arrives earlier, with Environment Canada updates and model consensus expected to refine probabilities through the final 24 hours before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月18日多伦多气温最高？
5月18日多伦多气温最高？
29°C 29%
30°C 22%
28°C 15%
31°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-05-18
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
6%
28°C
15%
29°C
29%
30°C
22%
31°C
14%
32°C或以上
11%
29°C 29%
30°C 22%
28°C 15%
31°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-05-18
22°C or below
$3,230 交易量
<1%
23°C
$581 交易量
<1%
24°C
$1,160 交易量
<1%
25°C
$135 交易量
1%
26°C
$399 交易量
4%
27°C
$196 交易量
6%
28°C
$378 交易量
15%
29°C
$366 交易量
29%
30°C
$217 交易量
22%
31°C
$297 交易量
14%
32°C或以上
$531 交易量
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment for Toronto's highest temperature on May 18 centers on 29°C at 31% implied probability amid a broad distribution reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty. Ensemble models from official agencies show mild spring conditions with southerly flow and moderate solar insolation potentially driving peak readings near 28–30°C, consistent with climatological mid-May baselines around 18–20°C but elevated by 2026's warmer-than-average pattern. Key variables include afternoon cloud cover and any convective development that could suppress maxima, versus clearer skies or subsidence allowing 31°C or higher. Lower outcomes gain support if precipitation or stronger northerly advection arrives earlier, with Environment Canada updates and model consensus expected to refine probabilities through the final 24 hours before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$7,490结束日期
2026-05-18市场开放时间
May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment for Toronto's highest temperature on May 18 centers on 29°C at 31% implied probability amid a broad distribution reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty. Ensemble models from official agencies show mild spring conditions with southerly flow and moderate solar insolation potentially driving peak readings near 28–30°C, consistent with climatological mid-May baselines around 18–20°C but elevated by 2026's warmer-than-average pattern. Key variables include afternoon cloud cover and any convective development that could suppress maxima, versus clearer skies or subsidence allowing 31°C or higher. Lower outcomes gain support if precipitation or stronger northerly advection arrives earlier, with Environment Canada updates and model consensus expected to refine probabilities through the final 24 hours before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$7,490结束日期
2026-05-18市场开放时间
May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ETTrader sentiment for Toronto's highest temperature on May 18 centers on 29°C at 31% implied probability amid a broad distribution reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty. Ensemble models from official agencies show mild spring conditions with southerly flow and moderate solar insolation potentially driving peak readings near 28–30°C, consistent with climatological mid-May baselines around 18–20°C but elevated by 2026's warmer-than-average pattern. Key variables include afternoon cloud cover and any convective development that could suppress maxima, versus clearer skies or subsidence allowing 31°C or higher. Lower outcomes gain support if precipitation or stronger northerly advection arrives earlier, with Environment Canada updates and model consensus expected to refine probabilities through the final 24 hours before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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