Recent forecasts from major meteorological services point to a daytime high of 27–29°C in Wuhan on May 17, driven by persistent cloud cover, moderate southerly flow, and typical spring humidity that limits intense solar heating. These conditions align closely with the market’s heaviest weighting on 28°C and 29°C, reflecting ensemble model consensus near the 26–28°C climatological average for mid-May. Minor model spread remains tied to possible afternoon clearing, which could nudge readings toward 30°C if winds weaken, though no strong signals support extremes above that threshold. Updated guidance expected overnight from official monitoring agencies will clarify any late adjustments before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月17日武汉气温最高?
28°C 58%
29°C 28%
30°C 11%
31°C 4.5%
$31,121 交易量
$31,121 交易量
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
58%
29°C
28%
30°C
11%
31°C
5%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
28°C 58%
29°C 28%
30°C 11%
31°C 4.5%
$31,121 交易量
$31,121 交易量
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
58%
29°C
28%
30°C
11%
31°C
5%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent forecasts from major meteorological services point to a daytime high of 27–29°C in Wuhan on May 17, driven by persistent cloud cover, moderate southerly flow, and typical spring humidity that limits intense solar heating. These conditions align closely with the market’s heaviest weighting on 28°C and 29°C, reflecting ensemble model consensus near the 26–28°C climatological average for mid-May. Minor model spread remains tied to possible afternoon clearing, which could nudge readings toward 30°C if winds weaken, though no strong signals support extremes above that threshold. Updated guidance expected overnight from official monitoring agencies will clarify any late adjustments before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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