Strong seasonal warming and high humidity in Hong Kong’s subtropical climate have produced consistent overnight lows near 26°C, driving near-certain trader consensus on that outcome for the June 14 minimum. Official seasonal guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory projects above-normal temperatures through the June–August period, consistent with climatological averages of roughly 26°C lows and recent model runs showing minimal nocturnal cooling under mostly cloudy, moist conditions. Urban heat-island effects and light winds further limit radiative cooling. Only a sharp, unanticipated cold surge or localized heavy downpour capable of dropping readings below the 26°C threshold would realistically shift the outcome, though current forecast consensus shows no such signal.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月14日香港最低气温？
6月14日香港最低气温？
26°C 99.8%
22°C或以下 <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$78,606 交易量
$78,606 交易量
2026-06-14
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C或以上
<1%
26°C 99.8%
22°C或以下 <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$78,606 交易量
$78,606 交易量
2026-06-14
22°C或以下
$2,923 交易量
<1%
23°C
$9,108 交易量
<1%
24°C
$6,295 交易量
<1%
25°C
$9,586 交易量
<1%
26°C
$14,472 交易量
100%
27°C
$8,049 交易量
<1%
28°C
$18,740 交易量
<1%
29°C
$6,709 交易量
<1%
30°C
$506 交易量
<1%
31°C
$463 交易量
<1%
32°C或以上
$1,756 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Strong seasonal warming and high humidity in Hong Kong’s subtropical climate have produced consistent overnight lows near 26°C, driving near-certain trader consensus on that outcome for the June 14 minimum. Official seasonal guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory projects above-normal temperatures through the June–August period, consistent with climatological averages of roughly 26°C lows and recent model runs showing minimal nocturnal cooling under mostly cloudy, moist conditions. Urban heat-island effects and light winds further limit radiative cooling. Only a sharp, unanticipated cold surge or localized heavy downpour capable of dropping readings below the 26°C threshold would realistically shift the outcome, though current forecast consensus shows no such signal.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$78,606结束日期
2026-06-14市场开放时间
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Strong seasonal warming and high humidity in Hong Kong’s subtropical climate have produced consistent overnight lows near 26°C, driving near-certain trader consensus on that outcome for the June 14 minimum. Official seasonal guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory projects above-normal temperatures through the June–August period, consistent with climatological averages of roughly 26°C lows and recent model runs showing minimal nocturnal cooling under mostly cloudy, moist conditions. Urban heat-island effects and light winds further limit radiative cooling. Only a sharp, unanticipated cold surge or localized heavy downpour capable of dropping readings below the 26°C threshold would realistically shift the outcome, though current forecast consensus shows no such signal.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$78,606结束日期
2026-06-14市场开放时间
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong seasonal warming and high humidity in Hong Kong’s subtropical climate have produced consistent overnight lows near 26°C, driving near-certain trader consensus on that outcome for the June 14 minimum. Official seasonal guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory projects above-normal temperatures through the June–August period, consistent with climatological averages of roughly 26°C lows and recent model runs showing minimal nocturnal cooling under mostly cloudy, moist conditions. Urban heat-island effects and light winds further limit radiative cooling. Only a sharp, unanticipated cold surge or localized heavy downpour capable of dropping readings below the 26°C threshold would realistically shift the outcome, though current forecast consensus shows no such signal.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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