Trader sentiment for NYC's June 14 minimum temperature centers on a warm, humid air mass limiting overnight radiative cooling, with models showing dew points near 60°F and light southerly flow sustaining boundary-layer mixing. This supports the 31.5% probability on 76-77°F and 20.5% on 72-73°F, consistent with mid-June climatology when urban heat-island effects and reduced clear-sky cooling often elevate lows above the 66°F average. Higher outcomes (78°F+) remain low-probability absent stronger warm advection or persistent clouds. Cooler bins (70°F and below) hinge on clearer skies, stronger northerly winds, or a frontal passage accelerating nocturnal temperature drops—variables with notable model spread at this lead time. Uncertainty across the distribution reflects divergent guidance on cloud timing and wind speeds through dawn.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月14日纽约市最低气温？
6月14日纽约市最低气温？
76-77°F 31.5%
68-69°F 23%
74-75°F 23%
70-71°F 13%
$13,033 交易量
$13,033 交易量
2026-06-14
63°F或以下
<1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
18%
70-71°F
10%
72-73°F
36%
74-75°F
16%
76-77°F
32%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F或更高
<1%
76-77°F 31.5%
68-69°F 23%
74-75°F 23%
70-71°F 13%
$13,033 交易量
$13,033 交易量
2026-06-14
63°F或以下
$1,792 交易量
<1%
64-65°F
$2,102 交易量
1%
66-67°F
$2,186 交易量
1%
68-69°F
$807 交易量
18%
70-71°F
$216 交易量
10%
72-73°F
$272 交易量
36%
74-75°F
$923 交易量
16%
76-77°F
$1,842 交易量
32%
78-79°F
$1,186 交易量
<1%
80-81°F
$976 交易量
<1%
82°F或更高
$775 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for NYC's June 14 minimum temperature centers on a warm, humid air mass limiting overnight radiative cooling, with models showing dew points near 60°F and light southerly flow sustaining boundary-layer mixing. This supports the 31.5% probability on 76-77°F and 20.5% on 72-73°F, consistent with mid-June climatology when urban heat-island effects and reduced clear-sky cooling often elevate lows above the 66°F average. Higher outcomes (78°F+) remain low-probability absent stronger warm advection or persistent clouds. Cooler bins (70°F and below) hinge on clearer skies, stronger northerly winds, or a frontal passage accelerating nocturnal temperature drops—variables with notable model spread at this lead time. Uncertainty across the distribution reflects divergent guidance on cloud timing and wind speeds through dawn.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 12, 2026, 9:31 PM ET
交易量
$13,033结束日期
2026-06-14市场开放时间
Jun 12, 2026, 9:31 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for NYC's June 14 minimum temperature centers on a warm, humid air mass limiting overnight radiative cooling, with models showing dew points near 60°F and light southerly flow sustaining boundary-layer mixing. This supports the 31.5% probability on 76-77°F and 20.5% on 72-73°F, consistent with mid-June climatology when urban heat-island effects and reduced clear-sky cooling often elevate lows above the 66°F average. Higher outcomes (78°F+) remain low-probability absent stronger warm advection or persistent clouds. Cooler bins (70°F and below) hinge on clearer skies, stronger northerly winds, or a frontal passage accelerating nocturnal temperature drops—variables with notable model spread at this lead time. Uncertainty across the distribution reflects divergent guidance on cloud timing and wind speeds through dawn.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$13,033结束日期
2026-06-14市场开放时间
Jun 12, 2026, 9:31 PM ETTrader sentiment for NYC's June 14 minimum temperature centers on a warm, humid air mass limiting overnight radiative cooling, with models showing dew points near 60°F and light southerly flow sustaining boundary-layer mixing. This supports the 31.5% probability on 76-77°F and 20.5% on 72-73°F, consistent with mid-June climatology when urban heat-island effects and reduced clear-sky cooling often elevate lows above the 66°F average. Higher outcomes (78°F+) remain low-probability absent stronger warm advection or persistent clouds. Cooler bins (70°F and below) hinge on clearer skies, stronger northerly winds, or a frontal passage accelerating nocturnal temperature drops—variables with notable model spread at this lead time. Uncertainty across the distribution reflects divergent guidance on cloud timing and wind speeds through dawn.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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