**Trader consensus on the Polymarket for Paris’s lowest temperature on June 14, 2026, has converged sharply on 13°C (99.7% implied probability) because real-time observations and official short-range guidance from agencies such as Météo-France and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show the overnight minimum stabilizing at that exact value.** Clear skies, light northwesterly winds, and a stable high-pressure ridge have produced typical early-summer radiative cooling without additional cold-air advection or cloud cover that would alter the low. Historical June climatology for Paris places average overnight minima near 12–14°C, so the current reading sits squarely within the normal envelope. With the market already at near-certainty, the only realistic scenarios that could shift resolution are an unforeseen late-evening temperature drop below the threshold or a post-event quality-control revision by the primary reporting station—both low-probability outcomes given the stability of the current synoptic pattern and the proximity to the end of the calendar day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月14日巴黎最低气温？
6月14日巴黎最低气温？
13°C 99.7%
11°C <1%
10°C <1%
12°C <1%
$12,364 交易量
$12,364 交易量
2026-06-14
9°C或更低
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
100%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C或更高
<1%
13°C 99.7%
11°C <1%
10°C <1%
12°C <1%
$12,364 交易量
$12,364 交易量
2026-06-14
9°C或更低
$657 交易量
<1%
10°C
$957 交易量
<1%
11°C
$2,070 交易量
1%
12°C
$1,380 交易量
<1%
13°C
$2,608 交易量
100%
14°C
$789 交易量
<1%
15°C
$852 交易量
<1%
16°C
$1,232 交易量
<1%
17°C
$747 交易量
<1%
18°C
$156 交易量
<1%
19°C或更高
$916 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on the Polymarket for Paris’s lowest temperature on June 14, 2026, has converged sharply on 13°C (99.7% implied probability) because real-time observations and official short-range guidance from agencies such as Météo-France and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show the overnight minimum stabilizing at that exact value.**
Clear skies, light northwesterly winds, and a stable high-pressure ridge have produced typical early-summer radiative cooling without additional cold-air advection or cloud cover that would alter the low. Historical June climatology for Paris places average overnight minima near 12–14°C, so the current reading sits squarely within the normal envelope.
With the market already at near-certainty, the only realistic scenarios that could shift resolution are an unforeseen late-evening temperature drop below the threshold or a post-event quality-control revision by the primary reporting station—both low-probability outcomes given the stability of the current synoptic pattern and the proximity to the end of the calendar day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$12,364结束日期
2026-06-14市场开放时间
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on the Polymarket for Paris’s lowest temperature on June 14, 2026, has converged sharply on 13°C (99.7% implied probability) because real-time observations and official short-range guidance from agencies such as Météo-France and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show the overnight minimum stabilizing at that exact value.**
Clear skies, light northwesterly winds, and a stable high-pressure ridge have produced typical early-summer radiative cooling without additional cold-air advection or cloud cover that would alter the low. Historical June climatology for Paris places average overnight minima near 12–14°C, so the current reading sits squarely within the normal envelope.
With the market already at near-certainty, the only realistic scenarios that could shift resolution are an unforeseen late-evening temperature drop below the threshold or a post-event quality-control revision by the primary reporting station—both low-probability outcomes given the stability of the current synoptic pattern and the proximity to the end of the calendar day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$12,364结束日期
2026-06-14市场开放时间
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET**Trader consensus on the Polymarket for Paris’s lowest temperature on June 14, 2026, has converged sharply on 13°C (99.7% implied probability) because real-time observations and official short-range guidance from agencies such as Météo-France and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show the overnight minimum stabilizing at that exact value.** Clear skies, light northwesterly winds, and a stable high-pressure ridge have produced typical early-summer radiative cooling without additional cold-air advection or cloud cover that would alter the low. Historical June climatology for Paris places average overnight minima near 12–14°C, so the current reading sits squarely within the normal envelope. With the market already at near-certainty, the only realistic scenarios that could shift resolution are an unforeseen late-evening temperature drop below the threshold or a post-event quality-control revision by the primary reporting station—both low-probability outcomes given the stability of the current synoptic pattern and the proximity to the end of the calendar day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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