Current meteorological forecasts from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration show Seoul’s overnight minimum on June 14 stabilizing near 20 °C under partly cloudy, early-summer conditions with light southerly flow. This aligns with climatological baselines for mid-June, when average lows rise from the mid-teens early in the month toward 18–20 °C as solar heating and humidity increase. Ensemble model consensus reinforces this range, with minimal spread across runs and no incoming cold-air advection or significant precipitation to depress temperatures further. The 97.4 % market-implied probability on exactly 20 °C reflects traders’ assessment of this tight forecast cluster. A late-day frontal passage or stronger radiative cooling under clear skies could realistically shift the minimum by 1–2 °C, though such adjustments appear unlikely given the latest guidance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月14日首尔最低气温？
6月14日首尔最低气温？
20°C 97.4%
19°C 2.4%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$15,692 交易量
$15,692 交易量
2026-06-14
15°C或以下
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
97%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C或更高
<1%
20°C 97.4%
19°C 2.4%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$15,692 交易量
$15,692 交易量
2026-06-14
15°C或以下
$1,480 交易量
<1%
16°C
$708 交易量
1%
17°C
$1,129 交易量
1%
18°C
$1,120 交易量
<1%
19°C
$1,172 交易量
2%
20°C
$2,200 交易量
97%
21°C
$2,835 交易量
<1%
22°C
$1,052 交易量
<1%
23°C
$2,064 交易量
<1%
24°C
$1,365 交易量
<1%
25°C或更高
$825 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration show Seoul’s overnight minimum on June 14 stabilizing near 20 °C under partly cloudy, early-summer conditions with light southerly flow. This aligns with climatological baselines for mid-June, when average lows rise from the mid-teens early in the month toward 18–20 °C as solar heating and humidity increase. Ensemble model consensus reinforces this range, with minimal spread across runs and no incoming cold-air advection or significant precipitation to depress temperatures further. The 97.4 % market-implied probability on exactly 20 °C reflects traders’ assessment of this tight forecast cluster. A late-day frontal passage or stronger radiative cooling under clear skies could realistically shift the minimum by 1–2 °C, though such adjustments appear unlikely given the latest guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$15,692结束日期
2026-06-14市场开放时间
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration show Seoul’s overnight minimum on June 14 stabilizing near 20 °C under partly cloudy, early-summer conditions with light southerly flow. This aligns with climatological baselines for mid-June, when average lows rise from the mid-teens early in the month toward 18–20 °C as solar heating and humidity increase. Ensemble model consensus reinforces this range, with minimal spread across runs and no incoming cold-air advection or significant precipitation to depress temperatures further. The 97.4 % market-implied probability on exactly 20 °C reflects traders’ assessment of this tight forecast cluster. A late-day frontal passage or stronger radiative cooling under clear skies could realistically shift the minimum by 1–2 °C, though such adjustments appear unlikely given the latest guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$15,692结束日期
2026-06-14市场开放时间
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETCurrent meteorological forecasts from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration show Seoul’s overnight minimum on June 14 stabilizing near 20 °C under partly cloudy, early-summer conditions with light southerly flow. This aligns with climatological baselines for mid-June, when average lows rise from the mid-teens early in the month toward 18–20 °C as solar heating and humidity increase. Ensemble model consensus reinforces this range, with minimal spread across runs and no incoming cold-air advection or significant precipitation to depress temperatures further. The 97.4 % market-implied probability on exactly 20 °C reflects traders’ assessment of this tight forecast cluster. A late-day frontal passage or stronger radiative cooling under clear skies could realistically shift the minimum by 1–2 °C, though such adjustments appear unlikely given the latest guidance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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