Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a minimum temperature of 20°C for Seoul on June 14, driven by clear to partly cloudy overnight conditions, light winds, and typical early-summer radiative cooling under high pressure. This aligns with climatological baselines for mid-June lows near 18–21°C, with current observations showing no significant cold-air advection or precipitation to depress readings further. Traders assign overwhelming probability to this outcome because model consensus has held steady through the latest runs, and urban heat-island effects in Seoul often prevent deeper drops. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-evening frontal passage or measurement revision at official stations, though such shifts appear unlikely given the stable pattern.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月14日首尔最低气温?
20°C 97.4%
19°C 2.5%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$13,362 交易量
$13,362 交易量
15°C或以下
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
97%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C或更高
<1%
20°C 97.4%
19°C 2.5%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$13,362 交易量
$13,362 交易量
15°C或以下
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
97%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a minimum temperature of 20°C for Seoul on June 14, driven by clear to partly cloudy overnight conditions, light winds, and typical early-summer radiative cooling under high pressure. This aligns with climatological baselines for mid-June lows near 18–21°C, with current observations showing no significant cold-air advection or precipitation to depress readings further. Traders assign overwhelming probability to this outcome because model consensus has held steady through the latest runs, and urban heat-island effects in Seoul often prevent deeper drops. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-evening frontal passage or measurement revision at official stations, though such shifts appear unlikely given the stable pattern.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题