The New Hampshire 1st congressional district's modest Democratic lean, reflected in its D+2 Cook Partisan Voting Index and Kamala Harris's narrow 2024 margin, anchors trader consensus on a Democratic general election victory. With incumbent Chris Pappas pursuing a Senate bid, the open seat has drawn a competitive Democratic primary field led by Stefany Shaheen, whose early polling and fundraising advantages position her well. Republican candidates face greater uncertainty ahead of the September 8 primaries, limiting their path in a district rated Likely or Lean Democratic by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Recent polling and fundraising trends reinforce this positioning without major late shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
87%
共和党
13%
最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
$3,625 交易量
87%
共和党
$2,912 交易量
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The New Hampshire 1st congressional district's modest Democratic lean, reflected in its D+2 Cook Partisan Voting Index and Kamala Harris's narrow 2024 margin, anchors trader consensus on a Democratic general election victory. With incumbent Chris Pappas pursuing a Senate bid, the open seat has drawn a competitive Democratic primary field led by Stefany Shaheen, whose early polling and fundraising advantages position her well. Republican candidates face greater uncertainty ahead of the September 8 primaries, limiting their path in a district rated Likely or Lean Democratic by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Recent polling and fundraising trends reinforce this positioning without major late shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
交易量
$6,538结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The New Hampshire 1st congressional district's modest Democratic lean, reflected in its D+2 Cook Partisan Voting Index and Kamala Harris's narrow 2024 margin, anchors trader consensus on a Democratic general election victory. With incumbent Chris Pappas pursuing a Senate bid, the open seat has drawn a competitive Democratic primary field led by Stefany Shaheen, whose early polling and fundraising advantages position her well. Republican candidates face greater uncertainty ahead of the September 8 primaries, limiting their path in a district rated Likely or Lean Democratic by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Recent polling and fundraising trends reinforce this positioning without major late shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$6,538结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The New Hampshire 1st congressional district's modest Democratic lean, reflected in its D+2 Cook Partisan Voting Index and Kamala Harris's narrow 2024 margin, anchors trader consensus on a Democratic general election victory. With incumbent Chris Pappas pursuing a Senate bid, the open seat has drawn a competitive Democratic primary field led by Stefany Shaheen, whose early polling and fundraising advantages position her well. Republican candidates face greater uncertainty ahead of the September 8 primaries, limiting their path in a district rated Likely or Lean Democratic by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Recent polling and fundraising trends reinforce this positioning without major late shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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