With the May 24 House of Representatives election under proportional representation just 11 days away, the latest IMR poll published May 12 shows DISY leading AKEL by 1.9 points (20.9% to 19%), projecting 14 seats to 13 amid fragmentation from a record 753 candidates across numerous parties. Trader consensus prices DISY at 79.5% implied probability for the plurality victory—the most seats—drawing on its wins in the prior three elections, consistent May polling leads (21.9% trend average vs. AKEL's 20.5%), and AKEL's slight decline. High undecideds (7-26%) and ELAM's steady 14% support introduce volatility, though polls diverge from market optimism by showing a tighter race; no-confidence triggers or snap dynamics remain absent.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCyprus House of Representatives Election Winner
Cyprus House of Representatives Election Winner
DISY 80%
AKEL 21%
ELAM <1%
KOSP <1%
$32,486 Vol.
$32,486 Vol.
DISY
80%
AKEL
21%
ELAM
1%
KOSP
<1%
DIPA
<1%
DIKO
<1%
VOLT
<1%
EDEK
<1%
DNM (DEK)
<1%
DISY 80%
AKEL 21%
ELAM <1%
KOSP <1%
$32,486 Vol.
$32,486 Vol.
DISY
80%
AKEL
21%
ELAM
1%
KOSP
<1%
DIPA
<1%
DIKO
<1%
VOLT
<1%
EDEK
<1%
DNM (DEK)
<1%
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Cyprus House of Representatives.
If voting in the Cyprus House of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the House of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Service of the Ministry of Interior of the Republic of Cyprus (https://elections.gov.cy).
Market Opened: Dec 12, 2025, 6:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Cyprus House of Representatives.
If voting in the Cyprus House of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the House of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Service of the Ministry of Interior of the Republic of Cyprus (https://elections.gov.cy).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...With the May 24 House of Representatives election under proportional representation just 11 days away, the latest IMR poll published May 12 shows DISY leading AKEL by 1.9 points (20.9% to 19%), projecting 14 seats to 13 amid fragmentation from a record 753 candidates across numerous parties. Trader consensus prices DISY at 79.5% implied probability for the plurality victory—the most seats—drawing on its wins in the prior three elections, consistent May polling leads (21.9% trend average vs. AKEL's 20.5%), and AKEL's slight decline. High undecideds (7-26%) and ELAM's steady 14% support introduce volatility, though polls diverge from market optimism by showing a tighter race; no-confidence triggers or snap dynamics remain absent.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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