Trump’s position as president drives elevated posting volume on Truth Social, where he issues frequent policy announcements, economic statements, and responses to developments in trade, foreign affairs, and domestic priorities. The platform’s launch of a paid early-access API on August 1 has heightened attention to his account, with trading firms and media subscribing for faster feeds of market-moving content, sustaining the pace seen in prior high-output months such as May (averaging roughly 27 posts daily). Ongoing legislative and diplomatic activity through mid-August continues to generate material for updates, supporting trader consensus around 200-plus posts for the week. A lawsuit filed August 12 over the API service has not altered output patterns. Historical benchmarks and the value placed on timely presidential messaging underpin the implied probabilities for elevated totals.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedDonald Trump # Truth Social posts August 11 - August 18, 2026?
200+ 62%
180-199 33%
160-179 2.4%
140-159 <1%
$53,530 Vol.
$53,530 Vol.
140-159
<1%
160-179
2%
180-199
33%
200+
62%
200+ 62%
180-199 33%
160-179 2.4%
140-159 <1%
$53,530 Vol.
$53,530 Vol.
140-159
<1%
160-179
2%
180-199
33%
200+
62%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trump’s position as president drives elevated posting volume on Truth Social, where he issues frequent policy announcements, economic statements, and responses to developments in trade, foreign affairs, and domestic priorities. The platform’s launch of a paid early-access API on August 1 has heightened attention to his account, with trading firms and media subscribing for faster feeds of market-moving content, sustaining the pace seen in prior high-output months such as May (averaging roughly 27 posts daily). Ongoing legislative and diplomatic activity through mid-August continues to generate material for updates, supporting trader consensus around 200-plus posts for the week. A lawsuit filed August 12 over the API service has not altered output patterns. Historical benchmarks and the value placed on timely presidential messaging underpin the implied probabilities for elevated totals.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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