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icon for Goiás Senate Election: 2nd Place
Politics·Brazil

Goiás Senate Election: 2nd Place

icon for Goiás Senate Election: 2nd Place
Politics·Brazil

Goiás Senate Election: 2nd Place

Ernesto Roller 42%

Gracinha Caiado 42%

Gustavo Mendanha 42%

Cintia Dias 41%

Polymarket
NEW

Ernesto Roller 42%

Gracinha Caiado 42%

Gustavo Mendanha 42%

Cintia Dias 41%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Ernesto Roller

Ernesto Roller

$0 Vol.

42%

icon for Gracinha Caiado

Gracinha Caiado

$0 Vol.

42%

icon for Gustavo Mendanha

Gustavo Mendanha

$0 Vol.

42%

icon for Cintia Dias

Cintia Dias

$0 Vol.

41%

icon for Dr. Zacharias Calil

Dr. Zacharias Calil

$0 Vol.

40%

icon for Guilherme Darques

Guilherme Darques

$0 Vol.

40%

icon for Gustavo Gayer

Gustavo Gayer

$0 Vol.

40%

icon for Isaura Lemos

Isaura Lemos

$0 Vol.

40%

icon for Iure Castro

Iure Castro

$0 Vol.

40%

icon for Oséias Varão

Oséias Varão

$0 Vol.

40%

icon for Vanderlan Cardoso

Vanderlan Cardoso

$0 Vol.

40%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Goiás is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls for Goiás's two Senate seats show Gracinha Caiado (União) consistently leading, while the contest for second place remains fragmented and closely contested among Gustavo Gayer (PL), Gustavo Mendanha, Vanderlan Cardoso (PSD), Dr. Zacharias Calil (MDB), and others. Multiple surveys through August 2026, including those registered with electoral authorities, indicate no clear frontrunner for the remaining vacancy, with candidates trading positions in first- and second-choice voting. Party alliances, such as PL's dual candidacies, and the open nature of the race without an incumbent advantage contribute to volatility. Upcoming campaign events and further polling could shift trader consensus on which contender consolidates support for the second slot.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Goiás is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:59 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Goiás is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Goiás is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls for Goiás's two Senate seats show Gracinha Caiado (União) consistently leading, while the contest for second place remains fragmented and closely contested among Gustavo Gayer (PL), Gustavo Mendanha, Vanderlan Cardoso (PSD), Dr. Zacharias Calil (MDB), and others. Multiple surveys through August 2026, including those registered with electoral authorities, indicate no clear frontrunner for the remaining vacancy, with candidates trading positions in first- and second-choice voting. Party alliances, such as PL's dual candidacies, and the open nature of the race without an incumbent advantage contribute to volatility. Upcoming campaign events and further polling could shift trader consensus on which contender consolidates support for the second slot.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Goiás is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:59 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Goiás is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Goiás Senate Election: 2nd Place" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ernesto Roller" at 42%, followed by "Gracinha Caiado" at 42%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 42¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Goiás Senate Election: 2nd Place" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Goiás Senate Election: 2nd Place," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Goiás Senate Election: 2nd Place" is "Ernesto Roller" at 42%, meaning the market assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Gracinha Caiado" at 42%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Goiás Senate Election: 2nd Place" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.