Recent meteorological guidance from the China Meteorological Administration shows Chongqing under persistent low-level cloud cover and light drizzle on May 17, limiting solar heating and holding the daily maximum near 23 °C at the official Jiangbei International Airport station. Ensemble models confirm minimal afternoon mixing within the Sichuan Basin, aligning with the market’s 99.8 % implied probability for that outcome and historical mid-May patterns when moisture suppresses peaks. A realistic challenge would require rapid clearing skies or stronger southerly flow that allows brief warming above the threshold before evening cooling sets in, though current boundary-layer conditions make such a shift unlikely before final observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on May 17?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on May 17?
23°C 99.8%
24°C <1%
26°C <1%
18°C or below <1%
$45,596 Vol.
$45,596 Vol.
May 17, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
100%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
23°C 99.8%
24°C <1%
26°C <1%
18°C or below <1%
$45,596 Vol.
$45,596 Vol.
May 17, 2026
18°C or below
$2,479 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,659 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$2,059 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$3,184 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$4,197 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$9,091 Vol.
100%
24°C
$5,273 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$4,300 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$3,250 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$3,942 Vol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$6,161 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent meteorological guidance from the China Meteorological Administration shows Chongqing under persistent low-level cloud cover and light drizzle on May 17, limiting solar heating and holding the daily maximum near 23 °C at the official Jiangbei International Airport station. Ensemble models confirm minimal afternoon mixing within the Sichuan Basin, aligning with the market’s 99.8 % implied probability for that outcome and historical mid-May patterns when moisture suppresses peaks. A realistic challenge would require rapid clearing skies or stronger southerly flow that allows brief warming above the threshold before evening cooling sets in, though current boundary-layer conditions make such a shift unlikely before final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$45,596End Date
May 17, 2026Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent meteorological guidance from the China Meteorological Administration shows Chongqing under persistent low-level cloud cover and light drizzle on May 17, limiting solar heating and holding the daily maximum near 23 °C at the official Jiangbei International Airport station. Ensemble models confirm minimal afternoon mixing within the Sichuan Basin, aligning with the market’s 99.8 % implied probability for that outcome and historical mid-May patterns when moisture suppresses peaks. A realistic challenge would require rapid clearing skies or stronger southerly flow that allows brief warming above the threshold before evening cooling sets in, though current boundary-layer conditions make such a shift unlikely before final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$45,596End Date
May 17, 2026Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKRecent meteorological guidance from the China Meteorological Administration shows Chongqing under persistent low-level cloud cover and light drizzle on May 17, limiting solar heating and holding the daily maximum near 23 °C at the official Jiangbei International Airport station. Ensemble models confirm minimal afternoon mixing within the Sichuan Basin, aligning with the market’s 99.8 % implied probability for that outcome and historical mid-May patterns when moisture suppresses peaks. A realistic challenge would require rapid clearing skies or stronger southerly flow that allows brief warming above the threshold before evening cooling sets in, though current boundary-layer conditions make such a shift unlikely before final observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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