BMKG's latest forecast update on May 13 projects partly cloudy conditions over central Jakarta on May 14 with light rain possible in western and southern areas, implying daytime highs around 32–33°C amid high humidity near 90%. Trader consensus favors 34°C (44%) and 35°C (33%) for the Halim Perdanakusuma Airport station—Jakarta's market resolution site—driven by the ongoing May heatwave fueled by peak solar insolation as the sun nears the equator, urban heat island amplification, and recent station readings exceeding broad-area forecasts. Global models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles show similar clustering near 34°C, though increased cloudiness introduces uncertainty; monitor intraday BMKG observations for shifts. Historical May averages hover at 33°C, underscoring tight probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jakarta on May 14?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on May 14?
34°C 53%
35°C 27%
33°C 15%
36°C 7%
$21,023 Vol.
$21,023 Vol.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
15%
34°C
53%
35°C
27%
36°C
7%
37°C
2%
38°C or higher
<1%
34°C 53%
35°C 27%
33°C 15%
36°C 7%
$21,023 Vol.
$21,023 Vol.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
15%
34°C
53%
35°C
27%
36°C
7%
37°C
2%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 12, 2026, 12:40 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...BMKG's latest forecast update on May 13 projects partly cloudy conditions over central Jakarta on May 14 with light rain possible in western and southern areas, implying daytime highs around 32–33°C amid high humidity near 90%. Trader consensus favors 34°C (44%) and 35°C (33%) for the Halim Perdanakusuma Airport station—Jakarta's market resolution site—driven by the ongoing May heatwave fueled by peak solar insolation as the sun nears the equator, urban heat island amplification, and recent station readings exceeding broad-area forecasts. Global models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles show similar clustering near 34°C, though increased cloudiness introduces uncertainty; monitor intraday BMKG observations for shifts. Historical May averages hover at 33°C, underscoring tight probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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