Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models project Jeddah's highest temperature on May 14 clustering tightly around 37-38°C under a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge, fostering subsidence inversion, clear skies, and peak solar insolation typical of early May coastal conditions. This drives trader consensus with 38°C at 34% and 37°C at 31.5% implied probabilities, reflecting genuine uncertainty from Red Sea sea breeze effects that moderate peaks—evident in May 10's actual 34°C versus model projections—and slight ensemble spread of 1-2°C. Historical May highs average 36-37°C at King Abdulaziz International Airport, per National Center of Meteorology (NCM) records. Evening model updates and NCM bulletins may refine guidance before official observations resolve the market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jeddah on May 14?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on May 14?
37°C 31%
38°C 24%
36°C 14%
39°C 13%
NEW
$16,941 Vol.
NEW
$16,941 Vol.
May 14, 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
4%
36°C
14%
37°C
31%
38°C
31%
39°C
13%
40°C or higher
5%
37°C 31%
38°C 24%
36°C 14%
39°C 13%
NEW
$16,941 Vol.
NEW
$16,941 Vol.
May 14, 2026
30°C or below
$2,268 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$1,103 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$4,154 Vol.
1%
33°C
$2,430 Vol.
1%
34°C
$1,850 Vol.
1%
35°C
$1,446 Vol.
4%
36°C
$914 Vol.
14%
37°C
$365 Vol.
31%
38°C
$333 Vol.
31%
39°C
$723 Vol.
13%
40°C or higher
$1,369 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models project Jeddah's highest temperature on May 14 clustering tightly around 37-38°C under a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge, fostering subsidence inversion, clear skies, and peak solar insolation typical of early May coastal conditions. This drives trader consensus with 38°C at 34% and 37°C at 31.5% implied probabilities, reflecting genuine uncertainty from Red Sea sea breeze effects that moderate peaks—evident in May 10's actual 34°C versus model projections—and slight ensemble spread of 1-2°C. Historical May highs average 36-37°C at King Abdulaziz International Airport, per National Center of Meteorology (NCM) records. Evening model updates and NCM bulletins may refine guidance before official observations resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 12, 2026, 12:24 AM ET
Volume
$16,941End Date
May 14, 2026Market Opened
May 12, 2026, 12:24 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models project Jeddah's highest temperature on May 14 clustering tightly around 37-38°C under a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge, fostering subsidence inversion, clear skies, and peak solar insolation typical of early May coastal conditions. This drives trader consensus with 38°C at 34% and 37°C at 31.5% implied probabilities, reflecting genuine uncertainty from Red Sea sea breeze effects that moderate peaks—evident in May 10's actual 34°C versus model projections—and slight ensemble spread of 1-2°C. Historical May highs average 36-37°C at King Abdulaziz International Airport, per National Center of Meteorology (NCM) records. Evening model updates and NCM bulletins may refine guidance before official observations resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$16,941End Date
May 14, 2026Market Opened
May 12, 2026, 12:24 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models project Jeddah's highest temperature on May 14 clustering tightly around 37-38°C under a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge, fostering subsidence inversion, clear skies, and peak solar insolation typical of early May coastal conditions. This drives trader consensus with 38°C at 34% and 37°C at 31.5% implied probabilities, reflecting genuine uncertainty from Red Sea sea breeze effects that moderate peaks—evident in May 10's actual 34°C versus model projections—and slight ensemble spread of 1-2°C. Historical May highs average 36-37°C at King Abdulaziz International Airport, per National Center of Meteorology (NCM) records. Evening model updates and NCM bulletins may refine guidance before official observations resolve the market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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