Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) forecasts of maximum temperatures between 35–37°C on May 14 underpin trader sentiment, positioning 36°C or higher at 65.5% implied probability and 35°C at 31.5%, as the upper forecast range aligns with persistent high-pressure conditions fueling above-normal May heat. Following an intense early-month heatwave peaking at 44.1°C on May 4—the hottest day of 2026 so far—recent observations show moderation to 34–36°C on May 12, with rising trends into hot, humid weather driven by southwesterly winds and limited cloud cover. Historical May averages hover around 35°C, but pre-monsoon dynamics favor peaks; windy spells forecast for May 14 introduce minor uncertainty. Watch PMD's daily update and official observations for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on May 14?
Highest temperature in Karachi on May 14?
36°C or higher 61%
35°C 27%
34°C 11%
33°C 1.4%
NEW
$14,568 Vol.
NEW
$14,568 Vol.
May 14, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
11%
35°C
27%
36°C or higher
60%
36°C or higher 61%
35°C 27%
34°C 11%
33°C 1.4%
NEW
$14,568 Vol.
NEW
$14,568 Vol.
May 14, 2026
26°C or below
$1,471 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$782 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$874 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$2,042 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,095 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$1,800 Vol.
1%
33°C
$1,899 Vol.
1%
34°C
$1,336 Vol.
11%
35°C
$1,119 Vol.
27%
36°C or higher
$1,170 Vol.
60%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) forecasts of maximum temperatures between 35–37°C on May 14 underpin trader sentiment, positioning 36°C or higher at 65.5% implied probability and 35°C at 31.5%, as the upper forecast range aligns with persistent high-pressure conditions fueling above-normal May heat. Following an intense early-month heatwave peaking at 44.1°C on May 4—the hottest day of 2026 so far—recent observations show moderation to 34–36°C on May 12, with rising trends into hot, humid weather driven by southwesterly winds and limited cloud cover. Historical May averages hover around 35°C, but pre-monsoon dynamics favor peaks; windy spells forecast for May 14 introduce minor uncertainty. Watch PMD's daily update and official observations for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$14,568End Date
May 14, 2026Market Opened
May 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) forecasts of maximum temperatures between 35–37°C on May 14 underpin trader sentiment, positioning 36°C or higher at 65.5% implied probability and 35°C at 31.5%, as the upper forecast range aligns with persistent high-pressure conditions fueling above-normal May heat. Following an intense early-month heatwave peaking at 44.1°C on May 4—the hottest day of 2026 so far—recent observations show moderation to 34–36°C on May 12, with rising trends into hot, humid weather driven by southwesterly winds and limited cloud cover. Historical May averages hover around 35°C, but pre-monsoon dynamics favor peaks; windy spells forecast for May 14 introduce minor uncertainty. Watch PMD's daily update and official observations for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$14,568End Date
May 14, 2026Market Opened
May 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) forecasts of maximum temperatures between 35–37°C on May 14 underpin trader sentiment, positioning 36°C or higher at 65.5% implied probability and 35°C at 31.5%, as the upper forecast range aligns with persistent high-pressure conditions fueling above-normal May heat. Following an intense early-month heatwave peaking at 44.1°C on May 4—the hottest day of 2026 so far—recent observations show moderation to 34–36°C on May 12, with rising trends into hot, humid weather driven by southwesterly winds and limited cloud cover. Historical May averages hover around 35°C, but pre-monsoon dynamics favor peaks; windy spells forecast for May 14 introduce minor uncertainty. Watch PMD's daily update and official observations for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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