Latest Met Office forecasts as of May 13 position London's highest temperature on May 14 at around 12-13°C, aligning with trader consensus implied by 42.5% odds for 12°C and 29.5% for 13°C, due to persistent northerly airflow ushering cool Arctic air amid blustery showers and low pressure dominance. Recent 10-day outlooks highlight this chilly mid-May pattern, with cloud cover and ≥90% precipitation chances—echoed in hourly projections plateauing at 12°C through afternoon—suppressing solar heating despite occasional sunny spells. BBC Weather corroborates highs near 13°C with light rain showers moderating peaks. New model runs overnight could refine this tight forecast cluster, though significant warming appears unlikely before weekend high-pressure buildup.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in London on May 14?
Highest temperature in London on May 14?
12°C 44%
13°C 28%
11°C 15.2%
14°C 10%
$76,177 Vol.
$76,177 Vol.
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
3%
11°C
15%
12°C
44%
13°C
28%
14°C
10%
15°C
3%
16°C
1%
17°C or higher
<1%
12°C 44%
13°C 28%
11°C 15.2%
14°C 10%
$76,177 Vol.
$76,177 Vol.
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
3%
11°C
15%
12°C
44%
13°C
28%
14°C
10%
15°C
3%
16°C
1%
17°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Met Office forecasts as of May 13 position London's highest temperature on May 14 at around 12-13°C, aligning with trader consensus implied by 42.5% odds for 12°C and 29.5% for 13°C, due to persistent northerly airflow ushering cool Arctic air amid blustery showers and low pressure dominance. Recent 10-day outlooks highlight this chilly mid-May pattern, with cloud cover and ≥90% precipitation chances—echoed in hourly projections plateauing at 12°C through afternoon—suppressing solar heating despite occasional sunny spells. BBC Weather corroborates highs near 13°C with light rain showers moderating peaks. New model runs overnight could refine this tight forecast cluster, though significant warming appears unlikely before weekend high-pressure buildup.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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