Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 68-69°F (45.5% implied probability) as the highest temperature at Downtown Los Angeles on May 14, driven by persistent marine stratus clouds from cool Pacific waters (around 58-60°F sea surface temperatures) delaying morning clearing and capping peaks, as seen in recent observations where May 12 highs reached only 66-67°F amid a cooling trend. National Weather Service forecasts indicate gradual clearing Thursday with highs near 73°F under weak high pressure aloft, but model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show variability in burn-off timing, tempering optimism for 70°F+ (28%) while keeping 66-67°F viable (25.5%). Historical May averages hover around 73°F at USC station, yet onshore flow introduces uncertainty; watch afternoon NWS updates for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Los Angeles on May 14?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on May 14?
68-69°F 47%
70°F or higher 26%
66-67°F 24%
64-65°F 6.0%
NEW
$15,119 Vol.
NEW
$15,119 Vol.
May 14, 2026
51°F or below
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
6%
66-67°F
24%
68-69°F
47%
70°F or higher
26%
68-69°F 47%
70°F or higher 26%
66-67°F 24%
64-65°F 6.0%
NEW
$15,119 Vol.
NEW
$15,119 Vol.
May 14, 2026
51°F or below
$625 Vol.
<1%
52-53°F
$825 Vol.
<1%
54-55°F
$1,051 Vol.
<1%
56-57°F
$1,381 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$1,974 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$2,755 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$2,010 Vol.
1%
64-65°F
$912 Vol.
6%
66-67°F
$1,236 Vol.
24%
68-69°F
$1,098 Vol.
47%
70°F or higher
$1,254 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 68-69°F (45.5% implied probability) as the highest temperature at Downtown Los Angeles on May 14, driven by persistent marine stratus clouds from cool Pacific waters (around 58-60°F sea surface temperatures) delaying morning clearing and capping peaks, as seen in recent observations where May 12 highs reached only 66-67°F amid a cooling trend. National Weather Service forecasts indicate gradual clearing Thursday with highs near 73°F under weak high pressure aloft, but model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show variability in burn-off timing, tempering optimism for 70°F+ (28%) while keeping 66-67°F viable (25.5%). Historical May averages hover around 73°F at USC station, yet onshore flow introduces uncertainty; watch afternoon NWS updates for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 12, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Volume
$15,119End Date
May 14, 2026Market Opened
May 12, 2026, 12:59 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 68-69°F (45.5% implied probability) as the highest temperature at Downtown Los Angeles on May 14, driven by persistent marine stratus clouds from cool Pacific waters (around 58-60°F sea surface temperatures) delaying morning clearing and capping peaks, as seen in recent observations where May 12 highs reached only 66-67°F amid a cooling trend. National Weather Service forecasts indicate gradual clearing Thursday with highs near 73°F under weak high pressure aloft, but model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show variability in burn-off timing, tempering optimism for 70°F+ (28%) while keeping 66-67°F viable (25.5%). Historical May averages hover around 73°F at USC station, yet onshore flow introduces uncertainty; watch afternoon NWS updates for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$15,119End Date
May 14, 2026Market Opened
May 12, 2026, 12:59 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 68-69°F (45.5% implied probability) as the highest temperature at Downtown Los Angeles on May 14, driven by persistent marine stratus clouds from cool Pacific waters (around 58-60°F sea surface temperatures) delaying morning clearing and capping peaks, as seen in recent observations where May 12 highs reached only 66-67°F amid a cooling trend. National Weather Service forecasts indicate gradual clearing Thursday with highs near 73°F under weak high pressure aloft, but model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show variability in burn-off timing, tempering optimism for 70°F+ (28%) while keeping 66-67°F viable (25.5%). Historical May averages hover around 73°F at USC station, yet onshore flow introduces uncertainty; watch afternoon NWS updates for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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