PAGASA's Science Garden station in Quezon City— the official monitoring site for Metro Manila temperatures—recorded a peak of 35.3°C around 2:00 PM on May 13 amid a high-pressure ridge dominating the dry season pattern, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for a 35°C high. Partly cloudy skies and isolated showers limited further intensification, aligning with May climatology averages of 33–36°C highs and recent model runs projecting no exceedance. Final daily tallies expected from PAGASA by evening are unlikely to shift this, though an improbable late-afternoon clear-out could nudge toward 36°C if solar heating resumes unexpectedly.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Manila on May 13?
Highest temperature in Manila on May 13?
35°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$45,376 Vol.
$45,376 Vol.
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
35°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$45,376 Vol.
$45,376 Vol.
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 11, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
PAGASA's Science Garden station in Quezon City— the official monitoring site for Metro Manila temperatures—recorded a peak of 35.3°C around 2:00 PM on May 13 amid a high-pressure ridge dominating the dry season pattern, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for a 35°C high. Partly cloudy skies and isolated showers limited further intensification, aligning with May climatology averages of 33–36°C highs and recent model runs projecting no exceedance. Final daily tallies expected from PAGASA by evening are unlikely to shift this, though an improbable late-afternoon clear-out could nudge toward 36°C if solar heating resumes unexpectedly.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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