Current meteorological models from the Israel Meteorological Service indicate a high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean supporting strong daytime heating in Tel Aviv, positioning the daily maximum near 34°C as the consensus outcome reflected in the 79.5% market-implied probability. Clear skies and reduced sea-breeze moderation through midday are expected to push surface temperatures above the May climatological average of 26–28°C, while limiting further intensification to the 35°C or higher bracket at 16.4%. Recent observations showing a warming trend from cooler readings on May 15–16 reinforce trader positioning ahead of final resolution via official station data at Ben Gurion International Airport.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 17?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 17?
34°C 86%
35°C or higher 12.8%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$60,515 Vol.
$60,515 Vol.
May 17, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
86%
35°C or higher
13%
34°C 86%
35°C or higher 12.8%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$60,515 Vol.
$60,515 Vol.
May 17, 2026
25°C or below
$10,442 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$2,768 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$3,674 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$2,381 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$2,721 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$4,265 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$3,965 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$8,782 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$7,773 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$5,723 Vol.
86%
35°C or higher
$8,857 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current meteorological models from the Israel Meteorological Service indicate a high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean supporting strong daytime heating in Tel Aviv, positioning the daily maximum near 34°C as the consensus outcome reflected in the 79.5% market-implied probability. Clear skies and reduced sea-breeze moderation through midday are expected to push surface temperatures above the May climatological average of 26–28°C, while limiting further intensification to the 35°C or higher bracket at 16.4%. Recent observations showing a warming trend from cooler readings on May 15–16 reinforce trader positioning ahead of final resolution via official station data at Ben Gurion International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$60,515End Date
May 17, 2026Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current meteorological models from the Israel Meteorological Service indicate a high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean supporting strong daytime heating in Tel Aviv, positioning the daily maximum near 34°C as the consensus outcome reflected in the 79.5% market-implied probability. Clear skies and reduced sea-breeze moderation through midday are expected to push surface temperatures above the May climatological average of 26–28°C, while limiting further intensification to the 35°C or higher bracket at 16.4%. Recent observations showing a warming trend from cooler readings on May 15–16 reinforce trader positioning ahead of final resolution via official station data at Ben Gurion International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$60,515End Date
May 17, 2026Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETCurrent meteorological models from the Israel Meteorological Service indicate a high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean supporting strong daytime heating in Tel Aviv, positioning the daily maximum near 34°C as the consensus outcome reflected in the 79.5% market-implied probability. Clear skies and reduced sea-breeze moderation through midday are expected to push surface temperatures above the May climatological average of 26–28°C, while limiting further intensification to the 35°C or higher bracket at 16.4%. Recent observations showing a warming trend from cooler readings on May 15–16 reinforce trader positioning ahead of final resolution via official station data at Ben Gurion International Airport.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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