Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Warsaw's minimum temperature on August 28 will likely fall between 13–15°C under clear to partly cloudy skies and light southeasterly winds associated with a strengthening high-pressure system. Radiative cooling overnight, favored by low humidity and minimal cloud cover, supports the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 10–13°C. Subtle differences in forecast wind speeds and any late-day cloud development could shift the exact low by 1–2°C, explaining the near-even probabilities across those outcomes. Official updates from IMGW and refined model runs over the next 48 hours will provide the key data for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Warsaw on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Warsaw on August 28?
17°C 65%
13°C 46%
12°C 45%
10°C 44%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
9°C or below
3%
10°C
44%
11°C
44%
12°C
45%
13°C
46%
14°C
43%
15°C
43%
16°C
43%
17°C
65%
18°C
7%
19°C or higher
7%
17°C 65%
13°C 46%
12°C 45%
10°C 44%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
9°C or below
$54 Vol.
3%
10°C
$6 Vol.
44%
11°C
$0 Vol.
44%
12°C
$0 Vol.
45%
13°C
$0 Vol.
46%
14°C
$0 Vol.
43%
15°C
$0 Vol.
43%
16°C
$0 Vol.
43%
17°C
$37 Vol.
65%
18°C
$37 Vol.
7%
19°C or higher
$37 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Warsaw's minimum temperature on August 28 will likely fall between 13–15°C under clear to partly cloudy skies and light southeasterly winds associated with a strengthening high-pressure system. Radiative cooling overnight, favored by low humidity and minimal cloud cover, supports the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 10–13°C. Subtle differences in forecast wind speeds and any late-day cloud development could shift the exact low by 1–2°C, explaining the near-even probabilities across those outcomes. Official updates from IMGW and refined model runs over the next 48 hours will provide the key data for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$170End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Warsaw's minimum temperature on August 28 will likely fall between 13–15°C under clear to partly cloudy skies and light southeasterly winds associated with a strengthening high-pressure system. Radiative cooling overnight, favored by low humidity and minimal cloud cover, supports the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 10–13°C. Subtle differences in forecast wind speeds and any late-day cloud development could shift the exact low by 1–2°C, explaining the near-even probabilities across those outcomes. Official updates from IMGW and refined model runs over the next 48 hours will provide the key data for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$170End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Warsaw's minimum temperature on August 28 will likely fall between 13–15°C under clear to partly cloudy skies and light southeasterly winds associated with a strengthening high-pressure system. Radiative cooling overnight, favored by low humidity and minimal cloud cover, supports the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 10–13°C. Subtle differences in forecast wind speeds and any late-day cloud development could shift the exact low by 1–2°C, explaining the near-even probabilities across those outcomes. Official updates from IMGW and refined model runs over the next 48 hours will provide the key data for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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