Hong Kong's subtropical climate in mid-June typically features nighttime lows near 26°C amid high humidity, persistent cloud cover, and limited radiative cooling, aligning with current forecasts showing a minimum around 26°C under northeasterly winds. Official seasonal outlooks from the Hong Kong Observatory anticipate above-normal temperatures for June-August 2026, while daily models project a 26–30°C range today, with minimal overnight drop due to moist air masses. Trader consensus, reflected in the dominant 80.8% implied probability for 26°C, incorporates these stable conditions and low variance in recent model runs, though minor shifts could occur with updated observations before midnight.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月14日香港最低溫度?
26°C 96.0%
24°C 2.9%
25°C 2.6%
23°C <1%
$55,731 交易量
$55,731 交易量
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
7%
26°C
87%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C或以上
<1%
26°C 96.0%
24°C 2.9%
25°C 2.6%
23°C <1%
$55,731 交易量
$55,731 交易量
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
7%
26°C
87%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong's subtropical climate in mid-June typically features nighttime lows near 26°C amid high humidity, persistent cloud cover, and limited radiative cooling, aligning with current forecasts showing a minimum around 26°C under northeasterly winds. Official seasonal outlooks from the Hong Kong Observatory anticipate above-normal temperatures for June-August 2026, while daily models project a 26–30°C range today, with minimal overnight drop due to moist air masses. Trader consensus, reflected in the dominant 80.8% implied probability for 26°C, incorporates these stable conditions and low variance in recent model runs, though minor shifts could occur with updated observations before midnight.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions